Tag: DEBT

MONEY: The coming default by the US FED / Treasury?

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https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/are-you-ready-coming-us-government-default

Are You Ready For The Coming US Government Default?
by Tyler Durden
Monday, Nov 07, 2022 – 07:20 AM

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com,

*** begin quote ***

The vast herd of investors are a deluded crowd. Following the Federal Reserve’s much anticipated 75 basis point rate hike on Wednesday the major stock market indexes jumped upward.

Optimistic investors keyed in on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement and, in particular, the remark that the Fed, “will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation and economic and financial developments.”

*** and ***

In other words, this bear market may not bottom out until well into 2025. What’s more, the entire dollar based financial system will likely blow up sometime beforehand.

*** and ***

But many won’t recognize heavy handed monetary policy as reasons for their disappointment. The erosion of purchasing power can be subtle over long periods. Moreover, the effects of currency debasement policies extend to all corners of the economy.

*** end quote ***

Depends upon how you define default. What happens when no one wants to buy US Treasuries?

It’s going to be ugly. As the interest rate goes up, more of the Federal budget should go to interest on the debt. If they don’t cut, then more dollar printing.

A vicious cycle.

Sigh!

But what will be the form of it? Us tin foil hats are trying to guess will they just: “print”, “default on the bonds (i.e., tough <synonym for excrement> you suckers)”, or something involving a FED version of mandatory bitcoin (i.e., cash is recalled just like gold was)?

And, then what will the sheeple do?

—30—

VOCABULARY: Federal Reserve and Debt — interest versus usury?

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https://www.unz.com/mhudson/the-federal-reserve-and-debt/

The Federal Reserve and Debt
Michael Hudson • September 17, 2022 

*** begin quote ***

Well, the question is, why do people go into debt? And there are two kinds of credit. And this goes all the way back to the church theologians in the 14th century. Ancient societies didn’t have any different word for interest and usury. All that was developed to overcome the church’s banning of interest for a 1,000 years, certainly among the clergy. And then the European takeoff began. And after the Crusades it was obvious that some kind of credit was necessary to finance foreign trade. And some people benefited from credit, so the church said, all right, if you’re making a loan, the debtor gains from it, then it’s interest, then its mutual gain. And usury is when the borrower doesn’t really receive a gain but has to pay the interest out of income that they earned elsewhere.

*** end quote ***

Interesting distinction?

So what is our current scenario?  

Taxes are theft. And, they are usury to the extent we don’t benefit from them.

—30—

MONEY: The falling dollar hurts real people; an ebb tide lowers all boats

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http://www.mybudget360.com/us-standard-of-living-falling-us-dollar-impact-us-dollar-benefits/

Standard of living, meet falling US dollar – how a falling US dollar benefits banks at the expense of working Americans.

*** begin quote ***

There is certainly a cost to a falling US dollar. Many Americans are living the consequences of this multi-decade long trend. The Federal Reserve has only added fuel to this trend but many families are now realizing that there does come a cost to unrelenting debt based solutions to fiscal problems. Shopping at the local grocery store I’ve noticed that some items have doubled in the last few years. Fueling up is also more expensive. The issue with living on a low dollar policy is that eventually, you end up in a low wage capitalist system. The easy money slowly inflates away especially on global items. We are seeing this in the US in various arenas especially with higher education. The end result is that the standard of living for the vast majority of Americans has fallen dramatically in the last few decades.

*** end quote ***

The seems to be a basic stupidity in human beings as to the devastating impacts of “inflation” (i.e., counterfeiting by a central bank).

As an injineer, we can’t have a “standard” that varies. 

As a football fan, imagine if a yard was redefined each football season as 2% less. 35.28 inches. Easier to make a first down. Records would be meaningless. And, eventually, in 30 years, they’d play on a one inch field.

Absurd.

So why is it different for money?

In my lifetime, the “dollar”, whatever that is, has lost 99% of it’s value. Gasoline that was 30¢ per gallon was $3.75 last night. Has gasoline become more expensive? Those evil oil companies. No!!! Based on the price of silver, gas is actually ~30% cheaper. 

<<Those three silver dimes in 1960 bought a gallon of gas. Today those three dimes are worth about $6 (conservatively) to $10.50 (speculation). So either 28% cheaper or 65% depending upon your value of those dimes.>>

Why can’t “We, The Sheeple” see it?

And, in the general inflation (i.e., loss of value of the money), wages don’t go up. Those on fixed income are so screwed. And, the poor get poorer. Savings are a joke.

Also even the stock market gets “hurt”. Sure the stock prices go up, but never as much as the inflation rate. We’ve seen this in the Carter disaster. Then, stocks went up in the single digit %s, but the inflation was 25 or 30%. Hence the real value went down.

How does a tin foil hat view the world? Always price things in silver or gold. Makes it obvious.

A new men’s outfit in Rome was two ounces of gold. Today, you can buy a nice outfit for 3500$! Clothing has gotten “cheaper”.

A new car in the 60’s was 6 ounces of gold. (I know a bought a Chevy Nova brand new for 1200$). Today, 10,500$ won’t get you a new car. Cars have become more “expensive”. Gas we’ve already said has gotten “cheaper”.

What do you buy that’s changed?

Gooferment!!!

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POLITICAL: France has a top rate of 75%

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http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/28/us-france-budget-idUSBRE88R0AK20120928

France taxes rich and business to slash deficit
By Daniel Flynn and Leigh Thomas
PARIS | Fri Sep 28, 2012 7:49am EDT

*** begin quote ***

(Reuters) – President Francois Hollande’s Socialist government unveiled sharp tax hikes on business and the rich on Friday in a 2013 budget aimed at showing France has the fiscal rigor to remain at the core of the euro zone.

The package will recoup 30 billion euros ($39 billion) for the public purse with a goal of narrowing the deficit to 3.0 percent of national output next year from 4.5 percent this year – France’s toughest single belt-tightening in 30 years.

But with record unemployment and a barrage of data pointing to economic stagnation, there are fears the deficit target will slip as France falls short of the modest 0.8 percent economic growth rate on which it is banking for next year.

*** end quote ***

Here’s a country that’s going be a laboratory for high tax rates.

Better them than us.

The USA has growth rate below 2 and the true unemployment rate (U6) above 15%.

The Gooferment deficit, debt, and spending are spinning out of control; the Senate doesn’t even deign to do a budget.

I’m no fan of either party’s offering. But four more years of European style Gooferment is going to push the economy over the edge.

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FUN: Bernard McGirk on “replacement refs”

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“Our long national nightmare is over!. — Bernard McGirk on the Don Imus show about the regular refs coming back to work

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We have so many problems. Serious problems — unemployment, deficit, debt, crime in Chicago, immigration, … … California finances, crony capitalism … … 

… … where in this list is “replacement refs”?

Argh!

# – # – # – # – #  2012-Sep-27 @ 07:41  

MONEY: No meaningful way to save

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http://www.forbes.com/sites/charleskadlec/2012/01/23/gingrich-the-gold-standard-and-the-florida-primary

ForbesOp/Ed|1/23/2012 @ 4:33PM
Gingrich, The Gold Standard, And The Florida Primary Charles Kadlec, Contributor

*** begin quote ***

There is no meaningful way to save for your retirement, for your children’s education, or for the future if you don’t know what the dollar will be worth when you will need to spend it.  That makes us insecure and more dependent on government.  Sound money — a dollar that can buy the same amount 10, 20 or 30 years from now — increases our ability to take care of ourselves, our families and to be far less dependent on government.  That goes to the heart of our ability to live in liberty.

The gold standard also reinforces the constitutional limits on the power of the federal government.  When the dollar is linked to gold, the Federal Reserve cannot finance federal government deficits by printing excessive amounts of money.  If it were to try to do so, holders of dollars could over-rule the Fed by turning in the extra dollars for gold, forcing the Fed to reverse its policies.  Except in times of war, the Federal budget deficits were tiny.  From 1947 to 1967, they averaged just 0.1% a year.  In today’s economy, that would be the equivalent of $15 billion.

Finally, making the dollar as good as gold, and restoring gold to the center of the international monetary system, will give the Unites States an enormous boost in soft power.  According to a recent study by the Bank of England, when compared to even the flawed, post World War II gold standard, the paper dollar standard has been a disaster whose true dimensions have been disguised by the time over which it has been inflicted on people all over the world.   Since 1971, real per capital growth rates have been cut by 1 percentage point a year, even as world inflation increased 1.5 percentage points to average 4.8% per year.  Meanwhile, the frequency and severity of economic downturns have increased, as have the number of banking crises.

*** end quote ***

As far as I know, Gingrich doesn’t support a Gold Standard; only Ron Paul wants to start the process. And, it would have to be a process. A complete process of unwinding the “Era of Big Government”.

There’s a TV commercial on about the old couple at the bank being congratulated about their retirement. The teller is counting out blank pieces of paper. How true is that? In my mind, very.

Social Security was sold to “We, The Sheeple” as “insurance”. Unlike real “insurance”, the politicians and bureaucrats took the “contributions” and spent them on the welfare / warfare state. And, put IOUs in the “lockbox”. What a joke! A fraud. At least Ponzi didn’t force people to participate. If MetLife did what the Gooferment did, all the executives would be jail. The politicians and bureaucrats collect a big Gooferment pension for <synonym for the act of procreation in real time> us.

And, Social Security was never supposed to be taxable. And, inflation adjusted. Until the Gooferment decided that energy and food shouldn’t count towards inflation. Right!

And, good luck saving on your own for your retirement. The FED, to hold down the Gooferment’s borrowing costs, has by diktat keeps interest rates at zero. Or pretty close to it.

401Ks and IRA were introduced to induce savings for retirement and take pressure off Social Security. Since “it was never intended to entirely fund a person’s retirement”. That would surprise “We, The Sheeple” circa 1935.

But then a lot would surprise them!

So, perhaps, youngsters might be better off saving for their retirement in gold or silver bullion coins.

Remember that in ancient Rome two gold coins would buy a fine man’s outfit. Pretty much the same today.

Remember that in 1964, three silver dimes would but a gallon of gas. I can PERSONALLY attest to that. And, they cleaned your window, gave you a free class, and trading stamps. Today, those three silver dimes would be worth about SIX DOLLARS; enough for almost TWO gallons of gas.

So, what has changed?

The dollar!

So returning to that old couple at the bank with a lifetime of paper savings. They’ve been defrauded by society. Hard to imagine, but visualize if they’d put those savings into gold bullion coins that they kept in a kitchen pot. Each week, instead of “saving” with paper, they put some gold or silver away in that pot. Hard to imagine that they would nt be better off.

Finally, returning to Gingrich, I agree he could ignite a fire of reality. But, that’s not going to happen. Because at the end of the road, these guys are all suits who want to control people.

Vote Ron Paul. A return to sanity begines with a single step.

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GOLD: Unfunded liabilities

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http://lewrockwell.com/spl3/gold-chart-walk-2012.html

Gold Chart Walk 2012
by Morris Hubbartt

*** begin quote ***

Unlimited government requires unlimited funding. The unfunded liabilities of the USA are staggering. Over the next 20-25 years there is probably a gigantic $75 trillion unfunded liability problem for the US government. Think of the move in gold against the dollar with a debt of $15 trillion. Can you imagine the action in gold with a debt five times the current size?

The United States could be headed towards decades of dollar devaluation. With all of the problems in Europe, why isn’t the euro hitting new lows? Why can’t the dollar mount a real rally, instead of this tiny bit of strength?

The answer is that the dollar isn’t really very strong at all. If America goes into a crisis like you’ve just seen in Europe, the fall in the dollar could dwarf the euro’s fall, because America is the largest debtor nation in the history of the world.

The nature of all fiat currencies is to be competitive, with each currency group looking for an advantage in trade, and more importantly, an advantage in debt relief for the governments that issue these currencies. Fiat currencies are designed to be depreciated over time. Buy Gold in this time of gold price weakness, because your opportunity won’t last forever.

*** end quote ***

Regardless of how you feel about gold — the magic mineral, an obsolete anachronism, or something in between — this quote should strike fear into the heart on anyone who understands “real life”.

As if “unlimited government” was NOT scary enough, “unlimited funding” should be down right terrifying.

The national debt stands at 15T$ and growing every second.

Then you hit the guesstimate of 75T$ of unfunded liability, which should knock your socks off. It does mine.

How did “we” get in this mess? Even a crooked accountant, with two sets of books, has one that tells him the truth. Even Bernie Made-off knew he was “underwater”. We don’t even have ONE set that tells us the truth.

“Jobs created or saved”, “unemployment” stats that don’t account for the “99 week”-ers, and an inflation rate that doesn’t include food or fuel.

These are the statisticians that you’re looking to tell you “the truth”.

Can you even handle “the truth”?

“The truth” is that we’re going to be like Japan, the Soviet Union, and Zimbabwe all rolled into one.

As one of those war movies said: “Tell everyone to get small in their holes because trouble is coming.”

Argh!

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MONEY: Savings bonds have gone digital

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http://www.doughroller.net/investing/how-to-buy-us-savings-bonds/

Electronic U.S. Savings Bonds–Say Goodbye to Paper
by Rob Berger
in Investing

*** begin quote ***

As of today, U.S. savings bonds have gone digital. Paper savings bonds are history.

I’m get a bit nostalgic when it comes to paper bonds. There’s just something comforting in holding physical evidence of your investment. And the designs of paper bonds over the years have been quite impressive.

*** end quote ***

In the old days, a family accumulated savings bonds to pay for the children’s education. War bond, savings bonds, even savings stamps that led to a savings bond were common.

Over time, even rubes recognized that this was a joke.

Sorry, but this is just another scam pulled off on “We, The Sheeple”.

If the inflation rate is what I think it is, there’s no way that Gooferment Bonds of any type make any economic sense.

And, any interest on those savings bonds add to your taxable income in the future.

Also, those “savings” count in the formula for aid for that education.

Bullion is a better vehicle for any saving. Similar to passing along an inheritance, the rounds don’t appear on any form or schedule.

Hey, if the Gooferment and Wall Street can have “off book” and “off balance sheet” entries, why can’t you?

Call it jewelry. Just don’t keep it in a safe deposit box. (FDR raided those.) Everyone should have a garden.

Keeping what’s yours and / or getting back what was stolen from you is just financial self-defense.

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POLITICAL: What the government is not

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http://lewrockwell.com/napolitano/napolitano34.1.html

The Case for Austerity
by Andrew P. Napolitano

*** begin quote ***

Government is not a jobs program, and government is not your caretaker. Government is an arrangement made by free individuals to protect their rights and their property.

It doesn’t take $3.6 trillion a year to do that effectively in America today. I doubt it takes a trillion. We must swallow the bitter pill of austerity now, on our own terms, while we are still the undisputed leader of the free world and while we still have a Constitution, so that we can restore our prosperity in a way consistent with personal liberty.

*** end quote ***

Certainly seems that the 15T$ national debt is OUR problem.

If we were all on the same page, then we could amortize that over generations.

Bet we could sell 50 year bonds!

But we’re not even on the same planet as some people.

The Tea Party and the Occupy folks were all screaming about the same thing. Crony Capitalism, Regulatory Capture, and Rule by the Effete Elite. (imho)

Time to cut spending. And get everyone back to work.

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MONEY: Rich people buy new cars. Poor people do not

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http://dailyreckoning.com/the-corruption-of-america

The Corruption of America
By Porter Stansberryleadimage
12/21/11

 

*** begin quote ***

 

All we’ve done is convert the government’s nominal GDP stats into a fixed currency value that’s based on real-world purchasing power. The fact is, our data are far more accurate than the government’s because they represent the real-world experience. That’s why our data are far more closely correlated to other real-world studies of wealth in America.

Consider, for example, annual sales of automobiles. Auto sales peaked in 1985 (11 million) and have been declining at a fairly steady rate since 1999. In 2009, Americans bought just 5.4 million passenger cars. As a result, the median age of a registered vehicle in the U.S. is almost 10 years.

Our data shows that real per-capita wealth peaked in the late 1960s. Guess when we find the absolutely lowest median age of the U.S. fleet? In 1969. At the end of the 1960s, the median age of all the cars on the road in the U.S. was only 5.1 years. Even as recently as 1990, the median age was only 6.5 years.

Rich people buy new cars. Poor people do not.

 

*** end quote ***

 

Once again we have the “underground” confirming what we know in our gut, the country is getting poorer day by day.

 

“Penny candy”! Remember that? Like the recent Ron Paul point about 1964 dimes and gas, “penny candy” is a similar point.

 

One tenth of one single silver dime in the Sixties would get you one or more pieces of loose candy at the cash register. (Amazing in light of today’s focus on germs and health hazards that anyone survived.) Fast forward to today. That silver dime is worth about two of today’s dollars. So a tenth is about 20 cents. “Penny candy” is sold in quarter “gum ball” dispensers. So all that’s changed is the value of the money with respect to the  goods available.

 

Who wins in this inflation? No surprise there. The politicians and bureaucrats!

 

Argh!

 

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FLASH: The next debt limit debate

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http://news.yahoo.com/obama-ask-debt-limit-hike-treasury-official-152416457.html

Obama to ask for debt limit hike: Treasury officialReutersReuters – 3 mins 32 secs ago

*** begin quote ***

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The White House plans to ask Congress by the end of the week for an increase in the government’s debt ceiling to allow the United States to pay its bills on time, according to a senior Treasury Department official on Tuesday.

The approval is expected to go through without a challenge, given that Congress is in recess until later in January and the request is in line with an agreement to keep the U.S. government funded into 2013.

The debt is projected to fall within $100 billion of the current cap by December 30, when the United States has $82 billion in interest on its debt and payments such as Social Security coming due. President Barack Obama is expected to ask for authority to increase the borrowing limit by $1.2 trillion, part of the spending authority that was negotiated between Congress and the White House this summer.

*** end quote ***

OK, let’s start another “debt deal”. No!

No more debt!

Ever.

In fact, it’s sticking it to the posterity. Stop spending.

End the FED.

# – # – # – # – #  2011-Dec-27 @ 11:39

RANT: “Default”? No way, not needed

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As a political junkie, I’m enraged when some bozo (i.e., politician and /or bureaucrat) is allowed by some talking head to say “default” without opposition.

IMHO any reasonable person would pay the interest on the debt first, then the social security and other mandatory welfare payments, and come up with a “total must pay”. Subtract that total from the budget to come up with “what’s left to pay”. Subtract “total must pay” from current receipts for “what’s left”.

Divide “what’s left” by “what’s left to pay” and that’s the haircut that the budget must be slashed by.

No one is going to be happy, but no default. It’ll set off a lot of wailing and gnashing but that’s what fiscal discipline is all about.

That’s why I say don’t raise the debt ceiling. And, don’t let politicians and bureaucrats scare old people by saying no soc sec or the markets by saying default.

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POLITICAL: BHO44 SOTU long on words; short on meaningful debt reduction

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http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=255325#ixzz1C9GPMNFb  

And the debt bomb ticks on
Posted: January 25, 2011
Pat Buchanan

*** begin quote ***

Undeniably. Yet, consider.

The federal deficit for the fiscal year 2011, which ends Sept. 30, is projected at between $1,200 billion and $1,500 billion.

Thus, the $100 billion in cuts the firebrands are pushing, and few think they will get, add up at best to 8 percent of the deficit and 2.5 percent of the $3.87 trillion budget Obama proposed.

Thus, at best, this Congress will only slightly reduce the rate of speed at which we are heading toward a debt default.

*** end quote ***

I heard a lot of “investment”, “infrastructure”, and other pie in the sky.

Even the Tea Party “firebrands” aren’t cutting big enough.

And, they insist on using the Federal Reserve Bank Notes, mislabeled “dollars”.

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AN ASIDE

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_dollar

*** begin quote ***

In 1792 the U.S. Congress adopted legislation titled An act establishing a mint, and regulating the Coins of the United States. Section 9 of that act authorized the production of various coins, including “DOLLARS OR UNITS—each to be of the value of a Spanish milled dollar as the same is now current, and to contain three hundred and seventy-one grains and four sixteenth parts of a grain of pure, or four hundred and sixteen grains of standard silver”.

*** end quote ***

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RESUMING

I’d suggest that the Debt Limit NOT be raised. Close the “credit card”.

I’d suggest that we need to go back to 30 year Treasury bonds.

I’d suggest that we issue special 50 or 100 year debt reduction bonds to amortize the debt.

I’d suggest that we go back to “Constitutional money” and end the FED.

But what do I know!

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