POLITICAL: Ron Paul’s path to victory

http://www.kcci.com/news/27407884/detail.html?taf=des

Rand Paul’s Iowa Visit Shows New Political Climate – Des Moines News Story – KCCI Des Moines

Message from Scott: “Paul/Paul Ticket? Who would be at the top of the ticket- father or son?”

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Dear Scott,

I hope we don’t get a p/p ticket. It takes out 2 for 1. And the old man has enough “no” votes to be credible. I CAN see how he can win: the “ross perot” phenom.

Everyone forgets that ½ the electorate doesn’t vote. Some of them are not even registered. Watch, if Old Man Paul runs, for a wave of new voter registrations.

Of registered voters, ½ don’t vote. Of the remaining half (i.e., 50%), it splits 15 D’s – 10 R’s – 25 I’s. That’s the current calculus. The D candidate and the R candidate seek to rally their base to come out and fight over the independents.

In the Raegan election, (I believe from memory) 5% of the D’s, 25% of the I’s, and all 10% of the R’s voted for him. And, that was after, Ross Perot self-destructed his campaign. The tin foil hats believe that he was not a serious candidate; just some one the D’s put up to split the vote. Perot, like Bloomberg and others, was a life long died in the wool D, who magically became a “not D”. To quote Shawshank Redemption warden, “Lordy it is a miracle!” In the Perot election, Perot pulled some of the D’s, some of the R’s, and some of the I’s. Enough to get Clinton elected.

The great professional political politician’s fear is the “great unwashed coming to vote”. Remember there is 50% that register but never vote. Motivating half that mob to come out is a tsunami. That half is 25%! It would be overwhelming. And, if one assumes that if half of the “unwashed” comes out, then the 15-10-25 calculus is in the toilet. Something big is happening.

The candidate, who can tap into that groundswell of pissed off voters, will “surf” to an easy victory.

That’s why the Tea Parties are significant to the professional politicians and bureaucrats. It represents the “great unwashed”. That’s the tea leaves to watch.

Ron Paul could surf that wave to the White House. And, imho, save America from its fate.

We can only hope!

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At this point, I say a Ron Paul / Michelle Bachman ticket would be a strong entry into the race. The addition of a woman to the VP slot is almost mandatory!

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INSPIRATIONAL: April 2 Shining a Light for Autism Awareness Day

http://yorktown.patch.com/articles/april-2-shining-a-light-for-autism-awareness-day

It’s the Little Things
By Patrice E. Athanasidy
April 2, 2011

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April 2: Shining a Light for Autism Awareness Day

The Lakeland schools are spreading awareness as they “Light It Up Blue.”

April is Autism Awareness Month and today, April 2 is its main day. Awareness is key and that’s because experts believe that the earlier intervention begins, the better the results for children on the autistic spectrum are.

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Looking for a blue light to put in my window. I can’t imagine the load you’re carrying. I can’t imagine the number of children afflicted. I can’t do much to change the world. Here’s a quick prayer to support you. Having know how sickness can impact families, I just wish you the strength and stamina to “run your race”. Good thing that women are much stronger than men. Like the old joke, “if men had to have babies, the human race would have died out eons ago”, here’s one fat old white guy injineer’s applause for your “heavy lift”. jasper fjohn68

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RANT: And, maybe the whole thing is a bad idea?

The other night, I couldn’t believe my ears. Two IT execs, both of whom I like and respect, advocated a return to the draft. Each for different reasons, but both advocated for it.

I was speechless.

… but only for a few minutes.

Having been drafted, had my life, and the live of my loved ones, ripped apart by the Viet Nam war — may Presidents IKE, JFK, and LBJ have a special ever lasting reward for their role in it — and seen loved ones inalterably changed by it. I saw a country ripped apart. Families divided. Old friends lost forever. And not just by battlefield deaths. I’ve seen at least one set of sweethearts ripped apart, never to marry, and never to have been what they could have been. Next to Lincoln’s War, what I call the War of Northern Aggression, can I imagine a more “natural disaster” type devastation on the USA. WW2 wasn’t as corrosive to the American spirit.

Any way, snapping back to reality, I took up the opposition.

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Point #1 — the draft would stop foreign wars because the American public would have their sons in any war; the all volunteer service means that the poor minorities fight the wars.

This was Charlie Rangel’s idea. The draft didn’t keep us out of Viet Nam. And, the big Gooferment war hawks don’t seem to be kept out of anything in the way of a foreign war. I believe the Dead Old White Guys knew that a standing army was dangerous. Too likely to be used. The Constitution calls for the Army to be around for only two years. How did we let it become an eternal institution? Only the Navy as an ongoing entity is “constitutional”. If you want to prevent wars, and Presidents who think they are above the Constitutional requirement for Congress to declare war, your going to have to impeach one or two to get the message across. And, the voters are going to have to back up that action.

Of course, when women get their act together, they can unilaterally stop offensive wars. “Yes, when we get out of here. We’re going to have to fix that. You know we control something that can get it done. Not the ballot box, but the other box. (A giant sucking sound as pure Miss Marie used that very rude idiom.) We can end war.” — character “Marie” being anti-war in CHURCH 10●19●62 Volume 1 Page 262

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Point #2 — the draft and boot camp would be good for the young; teaching them discipline and needed life skills. And, an unspoken “benefit” was to create a common bond that would transcend “culture”. (Omitted because of the racist overtones.)

This is the height of ego. I know what’s good for you young whippersnappers. Why in my day we walked (insert absurd number) to and from school. Uphill both ways.

If in fact, there was NO army, then, and only then, would there be an argument that every yungster might be called on to defend the homeland. Think Israel where every girl and boy does a tour in the Army; they have a Civil Defense problem. Or, Switzerland, where every man gets trained and a military grade rifle and ammo to take home; with follow up drills every so often.

But, to say “You have to go to basic because it’s good for you” is absurdly trivial. To quote a modern clergyman recently in the news: “Who the hell do you think you are?”

You have no right to force me to do anything.

If we had a culture of self-defense, then maybe you might say that as condition of voting, you have to be capable of defending the USA.

And, maybe it’s in the form of a voluntary summer camp for ten weeks the summer after your 16th birthday. And, maybe it’s a one shot opportunity. And, maybe it’s justified. And maybe there are different ones for boys and girls.

And, maybe the whole thing is a bad idea?

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http://www.house.gov/list/press/ny15_rangel/CBRStatementonDraft02142006.html

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
February 14, 2006
Contact: George Dalley
(202) 225-4365


RANGEL REINTRODUCES DRAFT BILL

WASHINGTON – Lawmaker Says Volunteer Military May be Overwhelmed by Military Challenges in Iran, North Korea and Syria requiring more troops who will have to be drafted

Congressman Charles Rangel today introduced new legislation to reinstate the military draft that will include draftees up to 42 years of age.

“Every day that the military option is on the table, as declared by the President in his State of the Union address, in Iran, North Korea, and Syria, reinstatement of the military draft is an option that must also be considered, whether we like it or not,” Congressman Rangel said. “If the military is already having trouble getting the recruits they need, what can we do to fill the ranks if the war spreads from Iraq to other countries? We may have no other choice but a draft.”

The bill would mandate military service for men and women between the ages of 18 and 42. Deferments would be allowed only for completion of high school up to the age of 20, and for reasons of health, conscience or religious belief. Recruits not needed by the military in any given year would be required to perform some national civilian service.

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