RANT: Taking the pledge … only predict Libertarian races

Thursday, November 8, 2012

After Tuesday night’s stunning … …

… (to me; how could the Catholic, the Jews, and the under/un employed be so dumb?) …

… … results, I’ll refrain from further political predictions.

Got the electoral count right; just got it the wrong way.

In light of my “great success” as political predictor, I’ll retire with my record of incorrect calls. Like the weathermen, I just keep you amused with know-it-all blather

I will now begin the litany of: “Don’t blame me, I voted for Ron Paul”, “Shut up and enjoy Obamacare”, and my personal l favorite “Have you heard about the Free State Project? I’m moving nlt January 2017”.

–30–


INTERESTING: How to Bug-In

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

http://artofmanliness.com/2012/11/01/how-to-bug-in-what-you-need-to-know-to-survive-a-grid-down-disaster/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheArtOfManliness+%28The+Art+of+Manliness%29

How to Bug-In: What You Need to Know to Survive a Grid-Down Disaster
by A MANLY GUEST CONTRIBUTOR on NOVEMBER 1, 2012 · 35 COMMENTS
in MANLY SKILLS
Editor’s note: This is a guest post from Creek Stewart of Willow Haven Outdoor.

As the East Coast of the United States recovers from Hurricane Sandy, aka “Frankenstorm,” the rest of us watch the unfolding aftermath from a distance – thankful Mother Nature hasn’t unleashed her fury on our doorstep today. Hurricane Sandy is yet another sober reminder that none of us are exempt from disaster. Mother Nature doesn’t discriminate. She doesn’t care where we live, what we drive, how much we make, or what we do for a living. Her antics are diverse and far-reaching. She has a recipe of devastation for all parts of the world: hurricanes, tornados, floods, wildfires, winter storms, earthquakes, tsunamis, droughts, heat waves, volcanoes, land-slides, and sometimes even a combo pack.

It is human nature to avoid potentially bad news. It is also human nature to procrastinate. Consequently, many of us avoid going to the dentist, taking our car in for routine maintenance, implementing a home security plan, getting our yearly physicals, and many other important preventative and preparative tasks. Unfortunately, avoiding the thought of potential bad news has absolutely no bearing at all on whether or not it will happen. In fact, this attitude is completely self-destructive. Avoiding preparing for or prevent a very dangerous and probable threat is irresponsible and incredibly foolish. Yet, people do it all the time when it comes to potential natural disasters. The mentality of “it’s not going to happen to me” is no longer an acceptable excuse. In the 15 years I’ve taught Survival and Preparedness courses I’ve come to the conclusion that there are no acceptable excuses and I have run thin on patience to those that offer them. Burying your head in the sand is not a strategy and depending on the government to save you is not a plan.

Many of you remember the article I wrote a while back titled How to Make a Bug Out Bag. “Bugging Out” is the decision to abandon your home in search of a safer destination in the event of a large-scale disaster. Sometimes, Bugging Out is not necessary nor is it the best decision. A disaster may, in fact, make it impossible to Bug Out. The alternative is called “Bugging In.” Bugging In or hunkering down during a large-scale disaster can present many challenges to a survivor. Oftentimes, the utilities we depend on are ripped off-line – known as “Grid-Down.”

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[JR: I have my kits. Do you?]

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ECONOMICS: Understating inflation systematically

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

http://lewrockwell.com/roberts/roberts374.html

The Virtual Recovery
by Paul Craig Roberts

*** begin quote ***

Statistician John Williams (shadowstats.com), who closely follows the collecting and reporting of official US economic statistics, reports that consumer inflation, as measured by the 1990 official government methodology has been running at about 5%. If the 1980 official methodology for measuring the CPI is used, John Williams reports that the current rate of US inflation is about 9%.

The 9% figure is more consistent with people’s experience in grocery stores.

Officially the recession that began in 2007 ended in June 2009 after 18 months, making the Bush Recession the longest recession since World War II. However, John Williams says that the recession has not ended. He says that only the GDP reporting, distorted by an erroneous measurement of inflation, shows a recovery. Other, more reliable measures of economic activity, show no recovery.

Williams reports that the economy began turning down in 2006, falling lower in 2008 and 2009, and bottom-bouncing ever since. Not only is there no sign of any recovery, but “the economic downturn now is intensifying once again.” The absence of an economic recovery “is evident in the [official] reporting of nearly all major economic series. Not one of these series shows a pattern of activity that confirms the recovery [shown] in the GDP series.”

Williams concludes that “the official recovery simply is a statistical illusion created by the government’s use of understated inflation in deflating the GDP.” In other words, the reported gains in GDP are accounted for by price increases, not increases in real output.

*** end quote ***

This says it all. The Gooferment’s politicians and bureaucrats want to fool us.

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MONEY: Stay at home spouse should think outside the box

Monday, November 5, 2012

http://blogs.smartmoney.com/advice/2012/10/22/should-stay-at-home-spouses-get-their-own-credit-cards/?cid=djem_sm_dailyviews_t

OCT 22, 2012, 2:03 PM

Should Stay-at-Home Spouses Get Their Own Credit Cards?

By AnnaMaria Andriotis

*** begin quote ***

An effort to loosen credit-card standards for stay-at-home spouses would seem to benefit millions of consumers, but critics say the change could actually push some families deeper into debt and derail their finances.

Last week, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau proposed loosening regulations to make it easier for the nation’s more than 16 million stay-at-home spouses to qualify for credit cards, largely undoing more stringent requirements put into place in October 2011. Prior to then, consumers could sign up for a credit card by stating their household income, even if all of that income came from their spouse. But the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act required the Federal Reserve to amend several lending provisions for credit card issuers, including a new rule that issuers had to ask for individual income on a credit card application, and could no longer rely on household income.

If enacted, the CFPB’s proposal would allow credit card issuers to ask card applicants 21 and over for income to which they have a “reasonable expectation of access,” which could include a spouse’s salary. The bureau says it’s aware of several issuers that have denied card applications from otherwise creditworthy individuals based on the applicant’s stated income.

***

Not everyone agrees that this problem would outweigh the benefits. Some say the old rules were more fair for consumers. “Stay-at-home parents shouldn’t be penalized because they don’t personally bring in income,” says Scott Bilker, founder of DebtSmart.com.

*** end quote ***

Having had a spouse pass, maybe I am a little sensitive to this issue.

I see this area fraught with issues over and above the very real and present danger that the couple may get into credit card debt.

The value of a two income family is that, if properly diversified by company (i.e., both spouses don’t work for the same big company) as well as by locale (i.e., dad works on Wall Street and mom works on Broad Street in a different sector), then that provides a lot of safety. As long as they “live” on one income, then they are relatively insulated when one of them loses their employment. (Notice I said “when”; not “if”!)

There is a HUGE danger when the two checks are not “independent”. Or, if they need both to “live”.

(Either of those cases are a much bigger problem than the risk being explored here!)

The stay at home spouse, for whatever reason, was deemed the “lesser of two evils”. Maybe, most likely, they earned less and the loss of income is substantively made up for by the lack of day care costs. Net of taxes, commuting, lunches, and “wear ‘n’ tear”, the couple decides to forgo some income, which when net of costs is considered, isn’t so bad.

From my pov, this has several risks to this approach.

Number One is that the stay at home spouse’s skills will “age” badly. For all intents and purposes, I’d guesstimate the spouse’s renetry rate at just the minimum burger flipper wage. “Everyone” can go to MickeyD’s?

Life insurance is a hidden expense in this equation. Having had a dependent spouse, much of my fiscal planning was around if I got hit with the proverbial Mack Truck, what does she do?

One, that I’ve seen but not experienced, is what happens if the stay at home spouse — male or female — gets divorced. The TV prototypical example is Doc X who gets married in med school; typically to a nurse. Becomes a big doc and has an affair with the sexy secretary. Stay at home spouse is <crude vernacular for the act of procreation>. The stay at home spouse is muchly at the mercy of the working spouse.

I’m not sure how you handle these things.

I’m sure the working spouse would be insulted at any suggestion that the stay at how spouse would be eft high and dry.

BUT!

Sorry, but it has to be considered.

Stay at home spouse BEFORE they agree to become the “wife” (boy or girl):

(1) Need life insurance that names them as the beneficiary and lock it in stone;

(2) Need a legal document that outline any promises or expectations (written by a pre-divorce lawyer); and

(3) Funds on deposit in the “stay at home” person’s name that can’t be touched. (Think Titanic’s lifeboat).

Too many people — gay or straight — married or living together — traditional or non-traditional — don’t think outside the box.

I write this not for the adults, but for the children who always seem to get the short end of the straw.

—30—


POLITICAL: “… steal the passenger lifeboats …”

Sunday, November 4, 2012

http://lewrockwell.com/holland/holland72.1.html

Gold, Switzerland and the European Secessionist Movement
Anthony Wile interviews Ron Holland
The Daily Bell

*** begin quote ***

Ron Holland: Cutting rates, monetary stimulation and creating more fiat money seems to be the only option left to the central banking cartel in Europe and America. For the US, this creates a higher stock market thus making citizens feel more prosperous and less destitute than they really are. This always occurs during a presidential election campaign as the party in power and the president up for re-election need a positive – or in this case an improving – economy to increase their chances of winning the election. Both parties have done this for the last 40 years or so; nothing unusual here.

I really don’t view monetary easing as particularly harmful as it only postpones the inevitable for a little while longer, like moving up the angle of the Titanic as it was sinking from the bow with the stern higher up in the air. You stay dry for a few minutes longer but in the end, you still drown. Today politicians and central bankers are sort of like some crews on recent sinking cruise ships. They are using their time to steal the passenger lifeboats and safely get away while leaving the passengers to swim to shore or drown.

Also, the European Central Bank (ECB) and banking elite efforts to postpone their day of reckoning in Europe and New York is actually somewhat helpful to American citizens and investors. The investor risk in Europe is actually propelling funds into the American stock and bond markets as well as the dollar buying us a little extra time before the crisis crosses the Atlantic. In addition, the EU problems are helping the dollar in the near term on a relative basis to be stronger than it would be otherwise.

*** end quote ***

This is an insightful metaphor (i.e., the Titanic’s lifeboats).

It’s interesting and dangerous times.

How does the individual protect themselves and their families?

Clearly, one has to diversify one’s risks.

Make “insurance bets”.

If inflation picks up (more than it is now; if you believe the Gooferment’s numbers), then you have to take precautions.

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RANT: Yeah, I’m one of “We, The Sheeple”

Saturday, November 3, 2012

Dear Usual:

Re: @0715 Tyne — just to confirm trip to 51f is off. I’m still torqued, but Jill’s email convinced me to “pick another battle”

Last night at midnight when I drove past the long gas lines, after I had read my shore neighbor’s email during a rest break, I made a decision to wimp out. I send out “stand down” messages to the “patrol” that was going to “support” my assault on Seaside Heights. I was fully expecting to get arrested.

But somewhere inside my inner cowardice took over and, with a typical Oregonian attitude, “why bother”? Earlier in the day, after my shore plumber told me not to worry about freezing pipes (i.e., one of the big missions was to open the crawlspace main drain in a lame attempt to save the water pipes). He said the first hard freeze doesn’t come until December and, with no pressure on in the house, damage was in his opinion unlikely). (He also as much as said that I could do more damage messing around with “his plumbing”. LOL! It’s everyone’s house but mine.)

My shorts are still in knot because armed men masquerading as “the police” with orders from the gang calling itself the “town council of Seaside Heights” and “Ocean County” have stolen my property. That I’ve paid extortion called “property taxes” for more than 30 years. What do you call when men dressed in funny clothes with guns prevent you from getting to your land? Sorry but it’s just another day in the Pepuls Republik of Nu Jerzee. Differs from North Korea only by degree.

Note the “gas rationing” by the supposedly Republican Governor of the Pepuls Republik of Nu Jerzee!

Note that supposed rational of this “martial law” order is that it’s “too dangerous”. Look at the videos. Not to dangerous for TV reporters with their generators and truck. “Authorized workers”. Owners of the boardwalk businesses. People who rode out the storm. And, various people seen in the background loading cars from their properties. Note the way the “Chief of Police of SSH” talks to an upset property owner. Like an arrogant ruler to a subject; not an employee to his boss who pays his salary.

Note that NO WHERE ELSE in the Pepuls Republik of Nu Jerzeeare property owners denied access. Not Ac. Not LBI. Nowhere.

And, in my neighbor’s email, she cites that they haven’t been able to control looting. People are stealing boats in Toms River to go over and loot from the devastation.

I always knew that the Gooferment was oppressive. This time its boot came down a little too hard and a little too obvious.

When my 65th birthday came and went, I figured out that I could then sign up for the Free State Project. I did; now I’m really glad I did.

“Live free or die”,
fjohn

p.s.: I’ll be opening up “wimpy@reinke.cc” to receive abuse and “I told you so’s”! Argh!

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INTERESTING: Poor project management could put weather forecasters in the dark

Saturday, November 3, 2012

http://science.slashdot.org/story/12/10/27/1537204/our-weather-satellites-are-dying?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+slashdot%2FeqWf+%28Slashdot%3A+Slashdot%29

Our Weather Satellites Are Dying
by Soulskill

*** begin quote ***

Hugh Pickens writes “The NY Times reports that some experts say it is almost certain that the U.S. will soon face a year or more without crucial weather satellites that provide invaluable data for predicting storm tracks. This is because the existing polar satellites are nearing or beyond their life expectancies, and the launching of the next replacement, known as JPSS-1, has slipped until early 2017. Polar satellites provide 84 percent of the data used in the main American computer model tracking the course of Hurricane Sandy, which at first was expected to amble away harmlessly, but now appears poised to strike the mid-Atlantic states. The mismanagement of the $13 billion program to build the next generation weather satellites was recently described as a ‘national embarrassment’ by a top official of the Commerce Department. 

*** end quote ***

Hard to imagine the ineptitude and stupidity of the Gooferment.

I’m sure there’s a lot of blame to go around.

It’s all about relying on Gooferment!

And time after time, it lets us down.

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FLASH: “Seaside Heights is not North Korea”

Friday, November 2, 2012

“Seaside Heights is not North Korea” is a protest against homeowners being kept out of Seaside Heights by the police.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/296932970416347/

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POLITICAL: Modern Day Bread Lines

Friday, November 2, 2012

http://lewrockwell.com/slavo/slavo125.html

Food Stamp Nation: What a Modern Day Bread Line Looks Like (Infographic) by Mac Slavo

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Wow. The e-benefits hides the actual problem!

This picture brings it out!

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ADMINISTRIVIA: Demonstrating that 51F may have survived

Thursday, November 1, 2012


INTERESTING: Poll question assumes facts not in evidence

Thursday, November 1, 2012

What do you think?
Do you believe that the economic benefits of legalized gambling outweigh its societal impact?
Yes, the economic benefits strongly outweigh its societal impact
Yes, the economic benefits somewhat outweigh its societal impact
No, the societal impact somewhat outweighs the economic benefits
No, the societal impact strongly outweighs the economic benefits
No strong opinion

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The questions presumes several things.

(1) That we think.

(2) That there are things such as “economic benefits”, “legalized gambling”, and “societal impact”?

(3) And that there can be a trade off.

Don’t forget our old friend Bastiat! “The broken window fallacy” — Frédéric Bastiat Ce qu’on voit et ce qu’on ne voit pas (That Which Is Seen and That Which Is Unseen) 1850 

We can’t see what the other side of the choice is!

Argh!

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