RANT: The Guv and Karlagate

Thursday, March 8, 2007

Last couple of days 1015 has been properly dogging the Guv about his gift to his squeez. She “bought” a condo with his money supposedly. What is of “interest” it that she’s the head of a big state union. And, he “negotiated” with her “something”. He blocked pension and benefit reform by the legislature. And, she got a condo.

Now, he’s stonewalling with the “it’s a private matter”.

Sorry guv. It stinks.

Plus, what about a gift tax return? If it was a “loan” (with privileges), even if it was without interest, where’s the IRS?

It just shows that the political class places themselves above the law.

Argh!


LIBERTY: “Letters” from ww2 point the way to peace for us now

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

http://www.opendemocracy.net/arts-Film/
iwo_jima_4381.jsp

http://tinyurl.com/3bek9v

Letters to the past: Iwo Jima and Japanese memory
Emiko Ohnuki-Tierney
23 – 2 – 2007

***Begin Quote***

Clint Eastwood’s film “Letters from Iwo Jima” finds the humanity behind the brutality of war, thus honouring the past and opening hearts in the present, says Emiko Ohnuki-Tierney, author of “Kamikaze Diaries”.

***End Quote***

Only a vet understands that brutal fear.

Even if you were a “biloxi blues” type (i.e., sent home from boot camp because the war has ended) of vet, you’re a vet. In the quiet time of boot camp, you’ve recognized that the training might even kill you.

(Humorously, I had an uncle who in WW1 was assigned to supply at Fort Hamilton in Brooklyn. The family would always tease him when he would wear his campaign hat on Vet’s Day. He only held a rifle twice in his military career. Once, during boot camp. And, once to march in the NYC ticker tape parade for V-E day. But, he was a vet. I can still hear him saying to my grandmother “but, Sister, I could have been killed.” Then, when he wasn’t around, they’d have little jests about “killed by a falling pile of blankets”. But, they did always admit he was a vet. I thought the parade part was funny because there was a “shortage” of returning vets for the politicians to praise and a plethora of parades scheduled for politicians to get up in front of their constituents and “run for reelection” by praising the troops and the citizen support. So he had to do more marching in V-E parades than he ever did before. The powers that be stripped places of anyone with two legs and a uniform to march. Many times. Reminds me of today in some respects.)

Only a vet who felt the cool breeze of death understands. Only a vet who’s been under fire really understands. Only a vet who has killed an enemy really understands. Only a vet who’s been on the receiving end of injury or close to harm’s way really understands.

I thought that this was an excellent review. And, one of the comments really struck home.

*** begin quote ***

It was not called the “Rape” of Nanking for nothing, you know.

While America and the world rightly is horrified by incidents like the My Lai murders, are we now supposed to just ignore and thus condone government-sponsored murder, rape, theft, and arson? I refuse to “un-demonize” the brutal, sociopathic Japanese soldier (of any rank).

Little Boy and Fat Man. Wish we’d had them on December 8, 1941.

J W Ritter
USAF (Retired)

*** end quote ***

He ignores the facts of Wilson getting us into WW1, WW1 sets up WW2, and FDR steers us into WW2.

It’s really an indictment of the politicians. Who were not blessed enough, smart enough, or honest enough to steer us around these ghastly wars.

It’s really an indictment of the people who are not blessed enough, smart enough, or honest enough to say, to these supposed leaders, “no”.

Politely, firmly, unequivocally “no”.

So now we should be saying: No more “fresh young meat” to satisfy your needs! Bring all the troops home from all around the world. Now! It’s easy. Everybody gets on a plane, boat, or starts walking home. All travel order only go one way — home! Now!

Dona nobis pacem.

Note: Fixed some typos. 


WRITING: Copyright symbol

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

ALT169 (Hold the ALT key and tap 1 6 9 on the numeric keypad) gives you the little copyright symbol. (If it’s defined in the font your using) 


JOBSEARCH: Seekers should remember libraries

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

One of the LKDNNJ members pointed out that libraries with their usually free internet printer-equipped computers is a valuable resource.

(I knew that because when I was “out” and interviewing in NYC, I’d use libraries to land in between interviews. Them, and hotels, were excellent for rest room facilities and a place to kill some time between appointments.)

Glad to be “in”, but as usual I always anticipate being “out’. Forewarned is forearmed. Or is that four armed?


RANT: DELL doesn’t deliver

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

I’m stuck with LUGGABLE that fails a lot with winrot. My “fixit” plan is stalled waiting for DELL to deliver the replacement drive. Argh! When I ordered it was supposed to ship, express, Friday 02MAR07. When I looked for the tracking number on Monday 05MAR07, the ship date was now Wednesday 07MAR07. When I checked today it’s now 12MAR07. Argh! Never buy another DELL?

Update thursday 08 Mar 07: DELL emailed me to say it’s delivered. Hmmm, and I’m supposed to be happy?


INTERESTING: Lottery fever

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

>Subject: Win the Lottery?
>I see a NewJerseyite has one of the lottery winning
>tickets….hmmm….3 Tyne Court?

Drat, darn, heck … … no!

I even stayed up to watch the live drawing hopin’ it would help.

Interesting story. At least, I think it was interesting.

I spent an extra two buck yesterday on it.

Went to the local quick check (which was neither quick, nor did they give me a check), and paid my “tax” for lottery tixs.

(It really doesn’t qualify as a tax under my strict definition. It is avoidable. But, if you win, you’ll pay an obscene amount of “tax” so maybe it is. It is popularly described as a “tax on stupidity”. So I paid it willingly. But, in my own defense, I only pay when the jackpot is at “life changing” amounts.)

So when the disinterested person was playing on the machine’s keys, she spit out a two line ticket by accident in the midst of my tickets. She put it off to the side and gave me mine.

I quickly told her I wanted it.

I had visions of the tv news interviewing her as the sole winner of the grazillion dollar jackpot, saying “i made a mistake and this rude guy made me buy my mistake”.

:-(

So, I very politely but firmly “bought” the mistake.

When Frau checked the tix last night, I told her the only one she needed to check was that one. I was sure that the Comos was going to play a joke on me or teach me a very “interesting” lesson. It was a $2 ticket and it “won” $2.

How weird is that?

I know that if I hadn’t bought that mistake. It would have won.

Arghh!


MONEY: Figuring the market

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

There no “flux”. It’s a cyclic bull inside secular bear market. Yeah, I know “wt…”!

The secular trend (aka the channel) is the very long term trend. It’s bearish. It’s generally accepted that that long term trend is to lower valuations. PEs are at record highs. Oil is creeping back up. The Chinese are out of balance in trade. AND, the gooferment has several structural financial problems — out of balance budget, mounting debt, war costs, inflation, medicare costs escalating, medicare’s drug benefit, social security is unfunded, government pensions, government benefits — that make for bad news! The secular trend is evidenced by lower highs and lower lows. The cyclic trend is bullish(aka were going up inside the channel). There is no evidence of “bad news”. Business still are showing profits. Albeit slowing, but still profits. The structure of the economy seems to be good enough to support the normal course of business.

So, we are looking at is oscillation inside a channel that is sloped down. Watch the charts as the daily results bounce between the boundaries.

What should someone do?

Depends upon your age, and what kind of money it is.

If we are talking tax-deffered retirement money for a young person, then you want to be fully diversified, fully advantaged, and tactically shifting the mix as it seems fitting. If we are talking non-tax-deffered, then one has to be less careful (i.e., losses are deductible). A non-market-timer, buy and hold, average joe should be really careful in this environment. We’re going down. The only question is how far, how fast, and when.

My personal strategy, and I’m an old fart, that doesn’t have the ten years for the market to come back, is to in April 15th, take a conservative position with ½ maybe even more of ALL retirement and non-retirement money. I am expecting that all the IRA contributions to support the market thru April. Like deal or nodeal, I like to look at the upside versus the downside. With the S&P, and most metrics at near records, with PEs in the stratosphere, I postulate ex-cathedra from my belly button, is upside 1500 from 1350 and downside 900 from 1350. Numbers are approximate. That’s 11% up and 33% down.

So, I’d be very careful about taking a big loss in a retirement account.

In tax-protected accounts, I’m moving half or more to cash in April.

In taxable account, I’m confused. If I sell to move to cash, I’ll have to pay taxes ~25%. If the downside is 33%, then the loss would be 8%. I’m much more tempted to roll the dice. I’m reviewing each holding and trying read the entrails of the chickens to determine how the individual will fare in the downdraft.

Hopefull, if you’ve read my book,

https://reinkefj.wordpress.com/2006/06/30/muny-mental-lock-in-or-training-elephants/

then there is no single investment that will put a hole below the waterline.

I try to think about pyramid. Emergency fund and savings should be untouched by any down draft in the market.

If you’re efund and savings are defective, then that’s a different problem.


WRITING: Trying to “claim” my blog

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

To whom it may concern:

I’ve been trying to claim my wordpressblog reinkefaceslife. I’ve been able to do it on Technoratti. I’m pretty tech, but I can’t just seem to make it click on bloglines. What am I missing?

As an IT exec, I’d say that the process is flawed. If you have diagnostics, they aren’t apparent to me. So for example, if there is a two step check, then there should be two distinct red / green lights would be a good start. The site really should have a diagnostic mode that reports or journalize the steps that it is “seeing”.

Then, maybe I’d have a clue what is wrong.


RANT: Red light cameras for nu jerzee

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

Today on 1015, they reported that red light cameras are the latest revenue raising idea in trenton.

Argh!

Despite the fact that I was just in an accident caused by an illeagal left turn, I am still opposed to the automatic ticketing.

I’m less concerned about the camera. I am concerned about the gang in trenton finding a new way to rob us. I’m sure that they wouldn’t shorten the yellow to raise money.

We can have cameras on the roads, just as soon as they put them in the politician’s offices, homes, and hangouts.

Argh!


INTERESTING: Sorting in Excel

Tuesday, March 6, 2007

>>> Oh well, the favor involves an Excel spreadsheet that I am using to
>>> keep track of the team’s standings. I have a formula in there to
>>> calculate Win-Loss percent as you will see, but what I would also like
>>>each table (AL East, AL West, NL East, NL West) is sort the teams
>>>according to W-L percentage.
>>>
>>> I think what my problem is..is that I am trying to sort ‘within’ the
>>> spreadsheet, ie, just certain cols and rows. If I made each table
>>> (e.g. AL East) a separate spreadhseet then I suppose I could do it.
>>> Well don’t spend too much time on it…(you are too expensive for
>>> me)…I just thought I would give it a try.

>> I copied your sheet 1 to sheet2.
>> I removed your extra columns, merged cells, and two hidden merged cell
>> columns.
>> I “equalized” in column width all cells.
>> I then selected each range to be sorted. Did “data”
>> “sort” “PCT” for the range.
>> I repeated that for each one of the four ranges.
>> I think that is what you were trying to do.
>> It should be possible to code a macro to sort all four ranges
>> automagically.
>> (But you said don’t spend a lot of time.)

>That was great, thanks so much! So it looks like after I make an update,
>that all I have to do is then highlight the range to be sorted, and Select
> Data, Sort. I gave it a test and it worked great.
>
>My next challenge will be to try and write a macro to calculate the GB
> (Games Back)! Thanks again John, I knew you would know how to do that.

http://www.math.utoronto.ca/mathnet/questionCorner/baseball.html

*** begin quote ***

UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO MATHEMATICS NETWORK
Question Corner and Discussion Area
How To Compute Standings In Baseball
Asked by David Tobey on October 6, 1997:

In sports statistics, namely baseball, how do you calculate the number of games that a second place team is behind the first place team? This is easy if both teams have played the same number of games, but if they have not played the same amount, it isn’t so clear. This sounds like a fascinating mathematical question for a math fan and sports buff. I have come up with a few scenarios, but never have seen a definitive formula.

*** end quote ***

Their Answer:

image574

===

My summary: The original question taught me that sorting in Excel can not handle “hidden columns” (i.e., width set to zero — a consultant’s trick), columns of unequal width, and merged cells. Interesting facts I was unaware of. The effort was time stopped before I learned how to sort four ranges on the same page. I assume a macro, but I’ll bet named ranges might work as well since all sort on the same “pct”. Finally, the heavy lifting of calculating games behind was solved nicely by the University of Toronto. Thanks to the folks there. Finally that was interesting because they don’t play baseball. :-) For all those kids who went to gooferment skool, that formula is (I guess) the Canadian way of writing the generalized solution to a quadratic equation. Also interesting.

An interesting interesting exercise.