HEALTH: Urgent Questions About The Diamond Princess

Saturday, April 4, 2020

This post appeared first on Daily Reckoning . “Failure to comply with this order will result in a $5,000 fine and up to one year in prison…” We woke this morning to this menacing threat. It came issuing from the loudspeaker of a prowling police cruiser.

Source: Urgent Questions

*** begin quote ***

The Case of the Diamond Princess

Dr. Ioannidis cites the case of the cruise ship Diamond Princess:

Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with COVID-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%). It is also possible that some of the passengers who were infected might die later, and that tourists may have different frequencies of chronic diseases — a risk factor for worse outcomes with SARS-CoV-2 infection — than the general population. Adding these extra sources of uncertainty, reasonable estimates for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population vary from 0.05–1%.

That huge range markedly affects how severe the pandemic is and what should be done. A populationwide case fatality rate of 0.05% is lower than seasonal influenza. If that is the true rate, locking down the world with potentially tremendous social and financial consequences may be totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies…

If we assume that case fatality rate among individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2 is 0.3% in the general population — a mid-range guess from my Diamond Princess analysis — and that 1% of the U.S. population gets infected (about 3.3 million people), this would translate to about 10,000 deaths. This sounds like a huge number, but it is buried within the noise of the estimate of deaths from “influenza-like illness.” If we had not known about a new virus out there and had not checked individuals with PCR tests, the number of total deaths due to “influenza-like illness” would not seem unusual this year.

*** end quote ***

Died. (Sorry to hear that!)

BUT did they die WITH the virus or BECAUSE of the virus.

This is a GIANT difference!

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HEALTH: 31 Pics Of People Not Avoiding Contact In South Carolina Illustrate The First Stage Of A Tragedy

Friday, April 3, 2020

People and politicians in the US are reacting very differently to the coronavirus pandemic—it all depends on the state you’re living in. South Carolina has recently come under fire after some people on Twitter shared photos of Americans who aren’t staying at home and are ignoring the social distancing advice.

Source: 31 Pics Of People Not Avoiding Contact In South Carolina Illustrate The First Stage Of A Tragedy

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Well it seems that there’s a lot candidates for the next Darwin Award.  Clean out the human pool for the “stupid” gene.

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GOVEROTRAGEOUS: Managing a Disaster, by Walter E.Williams

Friday, April 3, 2020

in a disaster, we want people to economize their use of goods and services and we want suppliers of these goods and services to produce more. Rising prices encourage these actions. Anti-price gouging laws stymy those incentives and create the pretense that a disaster does not exist.

Source: Managing a Disaster, by Walter E.Williams | Creators Syndicate

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Once again, the various levels of Gooferment can’t “manage a disaster” by eliminating “price gouging”!

The higher prices force economical acquisition and encourage increase supply.  The more the “gouging” the greater the incentives.

I was at the grocery store today and there was no paper towels available at the $1.79 price as tagged on the shelf.  Now if the store had raised its price to $17.99, then I’d bet there would have been “plenty” there.

I read somewhere that Walmart was selling canned corn on a special sale for 50¢ per can and couldn’t keep the shelves stocked.  When they went back to the “normal” price of 79¢ per can, there was no problem.  Such was the price sensitivity. A 60% rise eliminated “hoarding”!

When will the politicians and bureaucrats ever learn?

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HEALTH: Urgent Questions About The Diamond Princess

Thursday, April 2, 2020

This post appeared first on Daily Reckoning . “Failure to comply with this order will result in a $5,000 fine and up to one year in prison…” We woke this morning to this menacing threat. It came issuing from the loudspeaker of a prowling police cruiser.

Source: Urgent Questions

*** begin quote ***

The Case of the Diamond Princess

Dr. Ioannidis cites the case of the cruise ship Diamond Princess:

Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with COVID-19 would be 0.125%. But since this estimate is based on extremely thin data — there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%). It is also possible that some of the passengers who were infected might die later, and that tourists may have different frequencies of chronic diseases — a risk factor for worse outcomes with SARS-CoV-2 infection — than the general population. Adding these extra sources of uncertainty, reasonable estimates for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population vary from 0.05–1%.

That huge range markedly affects how severe the pandemic is and what should be done. A populationwide case fatality rate of 0.05% is lower than seasonal influenza. If that is the true rate, locking down the world with potentially tremendous social and financial consequences may be totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies…

If we assume that case fatality rate among individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2 is 0.3% in the general population — a mid-range guess from my Diamond Princess analysis — and that 1% of the U.S. population gets infected (about 3.3 million people), this would translate to about 10,000 deaths. This sounds like a huge number, but it is buried within the noise of the estimate of deaths from “influenza-like illness.” If we had not known about a new virus out there and had not checked individuals with PCR tests, the number of total deaths due to “influenza-like illness” would not seem unusual this year.

*** end quote ***

Perhaps “We, The Sheeple” are being herded to the pens for loading on the trains to the camps.

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IOS: If you see error 9, 4005, 4013, or 4014 when you restore your iOS device – Apple Support

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

If you see error 9, 4005, 4013, or 4014 when you restore your iOS deviceWhen you try to update or restore your iPhone, iPad, or iPod touch, you might see one of these messages on your computer.

Source: If you see error 9, 4005, 4013, or 4014 when you restore your iOS device – Apple Support

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Some how, some way, my screen time passcode was either corrupted or “set and forget”.

In attempting to reset it, I got the “Error 9”.

I tried four times.

Took a break for dinner and was going to call Apple support. But, I thought “let’s try once more”.  And, WOW, it worked.

I’m pleased that everything was restored and I was able to turn off “screen time”.

But why didn’t it work the first four time?

Doesn’t inspire confidence!

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HEALTH: Coronavirus UK: Piers Morgan’s top 20 Cov-idiots so far | Daily Mail Online

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

And it’s been great to see people in other industries like entertainment being creative and thoughtful in trying to rally people’s spirits as millions of people sit at home worrying.

But sadly, I’ve also been repulsed by some of the outrageous, offensive and occasionally downright obscene conduct of a minority of people who have tried to exploit the crisis for personal gain, arrogantly ignored warnings to save lives, or brought a whole new meaning to tone-deafness.

Source: Coronavirus UK: Piers Morgan’s top 20 Cov-idiots so far | Daily Mail Online

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Cov-idiots!

Hard to define the word better than what these people did, or are doing!!!

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TECHNOLOGY: Italian engineers help coronavirus patients by harnessing snorkel masks for CPAP machines | Fox News

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Speaking with Fox News, Romaioli said that Favero proposed an idea: making an “emergency ventilator mask” by modifying a snorkeling mask that was available to the public. The teams contacted Decathlon, the French sporting goods retailer, about the Easy Breath Surface Snorkeling Mask. Isinnova said that Decathlon immediately provided the 3D computer-aided design for the mask, so the engineers could easily evaluate what modification could be made.

Source: Italian engineers help coronavirus patients by harnessing snorkel masks for CPAP machines | Fox News

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Some smart engineers make every CPAP machine a ventilator.

Great work!

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LIBERTARIAN: A civil liberties pandemic – The Boston Globe

Monday, March 30, 2020

The coronavirus epidemic may leave the economy in tatters, but economies grow back. What about Americans’ constitutional rights?

Source: A civil liberties pandemic – The Boston Globe

OUR HEALTH CARE system will eventually recover from the strain of the coronavirus pandemic. Our economy will recover too, notwithstanding the beating it is taking now.

Will our civil liberties recover?

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I don’t think so!

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GOVEROTRAGEOUS: Trump Gave 100 Million Virtual Care Access with Telehealth

Sunday, March 29, 2020

Clint Phillips, the CEO of telehealth company Medici, told Breitbart News Saturday that President Donald Trump’s telehealth reform has given 100 million Americans access to virtual care.

The Trump administration expanded Medicare telehealth coverage that will enable beneficiaries to receive a broader range of healthcare services from their doctors. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) approved a waiver that temporarily pays clinicians to provide telehealth services for beneficiaries. Medicaid recipients could receive access to the plan if a state government would approve the reform.

Source: Phillips: Trump Gave 100 Million Virtual Care Access with Telehealth

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It would seem that this change will never be rolled back.

Good!

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Rhode Island Police to Hunt Down New Yorkers Seeking Refuge

Saturday, March 28, 2020

Rhode Island has just over 200, and it has begun an aggressive campaign to keep the virus out and New Yorkers contained, over objections from civil liberties advocates.

Raimondo, a Democrat, said she had consulted lawyers and said while she couldn’t close the border, she felt confident she could enforce a quarantine.

Source: Rhode Island Police to Hunt Down New Yorkers Seeking Refuge

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Sounds like a violation of our Constitutional rights!

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