GOLDBUG: Why buy and hold gold?

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

In one of our semi-regular meetings of the old foggies’ society, I was trying to defend my love of the shiney metal to Luddite and Frau Reinke. Luddite’s wife stayed out of the fray; she’s the strong silent type. You know! The type that hangs back, listens carefully, and then forms her own opinion.

So why gold?

(1) It’s the only currently available “store of value”. Remember the dismal science’s (Economics) formulation of “money”? The first one was store of value that didn’t rot, erode, or get eaten by rats. Today’s fiat currencies are eaten by the gooferment rats.

(2) It’s not subject to the gooferment’s inflation tax. If you think about it, the gooferment funds its current version of guns and butter by debt to the Chinese, inflating / printing money, and taxes. If there was only a hundred dollars, and the gooferment prints five more, then you could understand that your dollar was worth less. The market place quickly adjusts prices to reflect reality. (In actuality, when more “money” is availble to pay for something, the price will rise due to the action of competing interests.

(3) It’s really an “off the books” investment. While it doesn’t throw off interest, what do you call the increase in purchasing power due to inflation?

[As an aside, you really have to laugh when the gooferment charges you a “capital gains tax” on the inflated value of an asset. If inflation is, for example, 5%. (Some commentators guesstimate it is as high as 18%!) So you buy a hundred dollar stock, in a year it goes up $5 and you cash out. Of your 5$ gain, 15% is paid in tax to the federal gooferment — 75 cents.  And the kicker is that your 105$ is really — if inflation is 12% — only worth 92.5 as measured in the prior year dollars. It compounds annually. Do you really think that a Kendall Park NJ house that was 12k new in 1950 is magically worth 330k in 2007? What did they use golden nails? No the dollars are depreciating and all things held in non-dollars are being repriced to reflect reality.]

(4) There are some interesting  nuances in holding American Gold Eagle, which are produced by the gooferment (i.e., the Treasury Department’s Mint), and are asserted to be dominated in dollars. The one ounce gold American Eagle is stamped 50 “dollars”. AND, it is really worth ~940 “dollars” in Federal Reserve Notes. (There’s a recent tax case where the employer declared his employees earnings in “dollars” as represented on the Eagles he gave them. Everyone paid less taxes.)  Does my estate executor report any coins I don’t give away to my heirs prior to my death in the metal value OR the “face” value.

<< IMHO — this bears on gift taxes, inheritence taxes, and anything where one has to report value.>>>

(5) When one wants to give a gift, you are limited to 12k without reporting it to the gooferment. So, if I give Eagles at face value, that’s 240 ounces. Or,  ~225k$ in Federal Reserve Bank Notes (Those funny green peices of paper).

(6) When one is at the end of one’s life, and the death taxes are facing you, you give a few coins to each visitor. No tax due!

In short, I think you have to think about gold differently.

Now Luddite brought up that in TEOTWAWKI (The End Of The World As We Know It) scenario, gold will be useless.

I disagree. You will be able to trade gold for stuff. You’ll need tools to keep what you have (like a gun). But, gold has a demonstrated history of being the “money of last resort”. In turbulent times, gold is highly valued.  His argument was that an ounce of gold was too much to pay for a loaf of bread. (Depends upon how hungry you are.) But Eagles come in different weights half, quarter, and tenths of an ounce. So just as today, you’ll need “change”. (Try buying a loaf of bread with a hundred dollar bill!)

I don’t give much credence to the TEOTWAWKI  scenario that trading gold for stuff will be difficult. I think that is the low probablility scenario. But gold does have value as part of portfolio and financial plan. (The coins; not gold stocks,  not gold IRAS,  not any kind of paper representing gold!)

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POLITICAL: what is more difficult than getting elected president

Monday, February 25, 2008

OBAMA’S REAL EXPERIENCE: HIS CANDIDACY
By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN
Published on DickMorris.com on February 25, 2008.

*** begin quote ***

The best evidence of Obama’s readiness to lead the nation is th e ability with which he has run for president. After all, what is more difficult, complicated, or challenging than getting elected president? What other life experience better illustrates one’s qualification to hold the office than a manifest skill in seeking it. For anyone who has ever been elected president, the race that sent them to the White House was the single most important event in their lives and dwarfs any other experience they might have had before running.

*** end quote ***

Well, Dick, I would respectfully disagree. As currently configured, the President is a much tougher job than the Founding Fathers’ intended and is arguably an impossible job!

What is more difficult than “getting elected”?

I believe running a F500 company in the current times is harder than getting elected. Being President is much like being CEO of a global enterprise. Except the President doesn’t have external market signals to guide to.

As original intended being President was easier. MYOB. Don’t spend a lot on the Navy. And, keep foreign people from killing Americans.

I think that Obama and Clinton are both uniquely UNQUALLIFIED to be President. What has either accomplished?

Don’t think I like the guy who slipped away from the Keating 5 conviction any better, He’s demonstrable wrong on McCain Feingold and a bunch of other things.

So, we again have very poor candidates to choose from. Maybe we should just stay home. It doesn’t seem like anything ever changes.

Sigh!

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Understanding


POLITICAL: Representatives DON’T do much more than hustle

Monday, February 25, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/bovard/bovard54.html

*** begin quote ***

Even when representative government works tolerably well, it is difficult to inspire the representatives to do much more than hustle for their own reelection.

*** end quote ***

We have entirely too many levels.

We should just vote locally and let it cascade upward. We would then have a local “hostage” to torture about all the abuses above that level. Cut out all the nonsense.

So for example, each house or apartment would hold and election for a “representative”. That rep would vote for all the folks they had. All the house reps on a street would vote for a street rep. Street rep rolls up to hods. Hoods to towns. Towns to county. Counties to state. State to National. Real simple.

Bet we’d see real change then.

At the very least there’d be less high paying political jobs. And pensions? What pensions.

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MONEY: gooferment regulators and the entities they regulate — an incestuous liaison and very dangerous

Monday, February 25, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig8/whitney8.html

It’s Time to Dump the Federal Reserve
by Mike Whitney

***Begin Quote***

“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.”
~ Aldous Huxley

The credit storm which began in July when two Bear Stearns hedge funds were forced to liquidate, has continued to intensify and roil the markets. Last week the noose tightened around auction-rate securities, a little-known part of the market that requires short-term funding to set rates for long-term municipal bonds. The $330 billion ARS market has dried up overnight pushing up rates as high as 20% on some bonds – a new benchmark for short-term debt. Auction-rate securities are now headed for extinction just like the other previously-vital parts of the structured finance paradigm. The $2 trillion market for collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), the multi-trillion-dollar mortgage-backed securities market (MBSs) and the $1.3 asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) market have all shut down, draining a small ocean of capital from the financial system and pushing many of the banks and hedge funds closer to default.

***End Quote***

This is the poster child for a disastrous gooferment program. Created in secret in 1913, it’s just flat out unconstitutional. Andrew Jackson must be saying “I told you so!”.

Constitutionally, there is nothing that permits the Congress to create a banking cartel and turn over the nation’s money to it. If it ain’t gold or silver, it ain’t money. And, no amount of “legal tender” laws can make it so. See Huxley quote above. The Dead Old White Guys made a mistake. The SHOULD have not mentioned money in the Constitution and left it to the marketplace to figure it out. But then, they thought the Tenth Amendment would cover any omissions. Silly Dead Old White Guys!

Strategically, the FED is supposed to regulate the banking industry. We’ve seen how well that works. The Germans had National Socialism; The Russians has Communism; America has Corporatism. The gooferment regulators and the entities they regulate are in an incestuous corrupt relationship. We should end this by ending regulation. The invisible hand of the marketplace is a far more honest regulator than any gooferment agency.

Tactically, the Fed has mismanaged and misregulated the whole mess. If for no other reason alone, it should be terminated with extreme prejudice.

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GUNS: The world is a dangerous place

Monday, February 25, 2008

http://www.impactlab.com/2008/02/24/how-not-to-release-a-bear

February 24th, 2008 at 6:46 am
How Not To Release A Bear
in: Photo Perspectives

Some day, silly humans will realize that the world is a dangerous place. For this bureaucrat to be with a bear’s reach during release is the height of stupidity. Luckily the fellow wasn’t killed. Note he had no side arm (i.e., a nice 1911 45 “bear discouragement device”) and no backup (i.e., someone with a big shotgun). I just shake my head.

“Attention KMart shoppers! The world is a dangerous place. Predators, of the two legged and four legged varieties, abound.”

I’d add some of those predators dress up as politicians, bureaucrats, and “law enforcement”. But no one would be listening any way.

Argh!

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TECH SERVICE: BLOGLINES stops updating

Sunday, February 24, 2008

http://www.bloglines.com

As an RSS reader, I liked it a little better than Google’s. Until it stop working today.

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LIBERTY: The US Supreme Court refused

Sunday, February 24, 2008

http://www.dslreports.com/shownews/Supreme-Court-Refuses-To-Hear-Wiretap-Case-92011

Supreme Court Refuses To Hear Wiretap Case
Offers no comment or justification of decision
08:49AM Wednesday Feb 20 2008

***Begin Quote***

The US Supreme Court refused without comment the ACLU’s appeal of a lower court ruling that blocked the group from suing over the Bush administration’s warrantless wiretap program. The appeals court has blocked the case from proceeding because complainants couldn’t prove they were being tapped, yet they couldn’t prove they were being tapped because claims of national security block further investigation.

***End Quote***

AND, you EXPECT the gooferment court to even hear the suggestion that the gooferment infringers are WRONG.

What space time continuum are you in?

Remember Mao? Power comes from the barrel of the gun. They gottem; you don’t!

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PRODUCTIVITY: My ideal for meetings

Sunday, February 24, 2008

Good meeting discipline

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RANT: Dr Carlyon said: “It is clear that a termination can have a profound effect on a woman’s life.” How profound!?!

Sunday, February 24, 2008

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2008/02/22/nartist122.xml

Artist hanged herself after aborting her twins
Last Updated: 12:23pm GMT 24/02/2008
An artist killed herself after aborting her twins when she was eight weeks pregnant, leaving a note saying: “I should never have had an abortion. I see now I would have been a good mum.”

*** begin quote ***

Emma Beck was found hanging at her home in Helston, Cornwall, on Feb 1 2007. She was declared dead early the following day – her 31st birthday.

Her suicide note read: “I told everyone I didn’t want to do it, even at the hospital. I was frightened, now it is too late. I died when my babies died. I want to be with my babies: they need me, no-one else does.”

The inquest at Truro City Hall heard that Miss Beck had split up with her boyfriend, referred to as “Ben” after he “reacted badly” to the pregnancy.

<<<Problem#1 — Sex without love? Bad choice.>>>

She saw her GP before the termination, but missed an appointment at a hospital in Penzance. She then cancelled, but later turned up to an appointment at a clinic at Royal Cornwall Hospital in Treliske. The counsellor was on holiday so a doctor referred Miss Beck to a pregnancy counselling telephone service eight days before carrying out the abortion when she was eight weeks pregnant, the inquest heard.

<<<Problem#2 — gooferment healthcare!>>>

The coroner, Dr Emma Carlyon, ordered that the identities of the doctor who performed the abortion and her lead consultant be kept secret.

<<<Problem#3 — Why? Are they afraid of being publicly excoriated for their “service” to this poor woman?>>>

The inquest heard that Sylvia Beck, the victim’s mother, wrote to the hospital after her daughter’s death, saying: “I want to know why she was not given the opportunity to see a counsellor.

<<<Problem#4 — “Mother” depends upon the gooferment to do her job!>>>

“She was only going ahead with the abortion because her boyfriend did not want the twins.

“I believe this is what led Emma to take her own life – she could not live with what she had done.”

The doctor said: “I discussed Emma’s situation with her, and wrote on the form, ‘Unsupported, lives alone, ex-partner aware’.

<<<Problem#5 — Hey Doc, maybe you needed to do more than “write on a form”!!>>>

“It is normal practice to give a woman the number for telephone counselling when a counsellor is not available.

“I am satisfied that everything was done to make sure that Emma consented to the operation.

She added: “We have since appointed more counsellors so there is more holiday cover.”

<<<Problem#6 — Guess that solves the !DEAD! woman’s problem?>>>

Katie Gibbs, Miss Beck’s GP, told the hearing: “She was extremely distressed by the abortion procedure, and I didn’t think she ever came to terms with it.

“She had a long history of anxiety and depression. Despite my best efforts, she was not willing to see a counsellor after the termination.”

Her boss at the clinic, said: “The time that can be given to a woman by a counsellor is limited in a busy hospital.

“I am satisfied everything was done to make sure Emma was consenting to surgery. I don’t feel there was any gap in the counselling service.

“There were lots of individuals who would be alert to any doubts. The comments made by Emma’s mother are not about a doctor I recognise.”

<<<Problem#7 — Bureaucrat satisfied; woman and children DEAD! Gooferment killed them!>>>

Mrs Beck told the court: “Emma was considered a talented artist, and sold a number of paintings.

“She was pleased when she became pregnant, but Ben reacted badly to the news.”

Recording a verdict of suicide, Dr Carlyon said: “It is clear that a termination can have a profound effect on a woman’s life.

<<<Problem#8 — clueless doctor who can’t see the problem, chooses not to, OR doesn’t want to lose his cushy gig!>>>

“But I am reassured by the evidence of the doctors here.”

<<<Problem#9 — wrong label; should have been “heartless bureaucracy that kills poor women without a feedback loop to their paycheck”!>>>

*** end quote ***

It’s usually bad form to intersperse comments. Sort of like interrupting a story being told. But, in this case, I was really torqued.

How can anyone advocate for the current system of SOCIALISM in the health care system?

I can NOT say for certainty that in a Free Market the result would be different. The poor woman had a history of making “bad choices”. But, let’s postulate that this was happening in a FREE LIBERTARIAN SOCIETY!

First, there would be no “dole”. And, people like the Dead Artist, her sperm donor, and her mom would have the heads in the right place. Or at least a better place! You know “I am responsible for me”, “My family is my support system”, and “I pay my own way”. Perhaps “sperm donor” could keep it zipped if he was going to “react badly” to a pregnancy?

Second, when the Dead Artist had a “problem”, she would pay for such services as she needed. (He who has the gold makes the rules!) And there would have been Doctors, Counselors, and People to help her. (While they may have been motivated by money, since she was paying, she could know for sure that her interests were aligning their interests. Greed is good. It’s makes people serve there fellow man!) Like McDonalds, there is always staffing to serve my needs. No “too bad, everyone’s on vacation!”. I mean “holiday”!

Third, even if she didn’t have money, there would be charity care. (Remember how hospitals always had a charity wing in the bad old days of freedom.) And, if you see any truly charitable organization — not these phony ones like United Way or the various “Big Charity life time employment for highly paid drones” type — think Salvation Army — such as those providing services to unwed mothers — she would have people helping her that truly cared about her. They will make mistakes, but they will be trying their level best to help. Think the Good Nuns in the wards of the old Catholic Charities Hospitals in NYC of yesteryear.

I’d have preferred her chances with FREEDOM rather than her fate at the hands of Socialists.

She’d probably agree now too.

Requiescat In Pacem, Dear Artist.

Here rests a Dead Artist.
Killed by the uncaring bureaucrats of the enslaving socialist state.
Warning to all.

Argh!

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PRODUCTIVITY: Everybody, I guess, needs a mokki.

Sunday, February 24, 2008

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/21/garden/21mokki.html?ex=1204347600&en=a7ebad4fcb301ed6&ei=5070title

NO VISITORS
The author spent a year building a backyard retreat for himself, hiding the nature of the project from his wife.
By PHILIP BESONEN
Published: February 21, 2008

***Begin Quote***

I also had a very particular cottage in mind. I wanted something like the little buildings called mokkis (rhymes with hokey) that I had seen while visiting my relatives in Finland. Mokkis were relatively small and nothing special to look at, but they were invariably off by themselves near lakes or trees, in settings where you could find peace. The feeling of serenity was the most striking thing about them.

***End Quote***

Where’s yours? Where’s mine? Sigh!

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