MONEY: CD Ladders for the novice.

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

What are “Ladders?

A ladder is a climbing device that is characterized by “rungs” that one steps on as you move “upward”. Oh, you knew that. In the financial world, ladders are a bundle of financial assets that have different maturities over time. Those assets could be bonds with different due dates; as opposed to stocks that are an equity interest.

Ladders are of interest in that one can construct a portfolio of bonds that has essentially a different characteristic from the underlying components. Bonds have some typical characteristics: amount, term, rate, and rating. Using a “ladder”, you can create a portfolio that has an higher effective annual interest rate than you’d anticipate. Using a different type of “ladder”, you can create your own version of a bond mutual fund. And, using again a different type of ladder, you can create your own “pension fund”.

“Certificate of Deposit” ladders, my particular favorite, are essentially a bundle of individual certificates of deposit that you consider as a unit or a “portfolio”. You can use all sorts of bonds and even preferred stock as you see fit. My preference is for FDIC insured Certificates of Deposit. (Please be sure to check with the FDIC website. This is pretty much as close to certainty as you can get.)

One drawback of say one year certificates of deposit is that of the low interest rate; use a ladder to get the five year rate. One drawback of a bond mutual fund is that variability in the value of the fund as interest rates fluctuate. One draw back of a pension from a pension fund is that the monthly pension goes away at death.

If you look into the technical descriptions, you will find that our “CD Ladder” overcomes many of the drawbacks. Low one year CD rates can be overcome by rolling five year CD terms. (More about that later) The fluctuation of a bond fund can be overcome by the date certain aspect of a CD; you always get your money back regardless of interest rates. And, the pension check disappearing at death can be overcome by the ladder goes into your estate when you die.

Laddering is a hedge against market volatility. If rates go up, you will be able to invest in a higher rate CD; bond funds lose value when rates go up. On the other hand, if the rates go down, at least you’ve got the other CDs invested at a good rate for longer and the not all of your eggs come due at the same time; bond funds go up in value but pay less interest at the new rate.

To create a CD ladder, you buy several CDs with varying lengths and interest rates. Let’s just use a simple ladder that I recommend to old retirees. The “12 by 5”! Think 60 Five Year 5% CDs spread out over the Twelve Months across Five Years that mature every month. Lets use a portfolio of 60k$ for ease of thinking. Every month, they have a 1k$ CD to roll over. They can take the interest 50$ and party. Trivial for a pension, right? But these are rich senior citizens. Make that a 50K$ CD and that’s 2.5k$ per month. Or, 30k$ per year. That’s a 3M$ portfolio. Better than Social Security. And, it safe, secure, and can be created by an individual with ease. Sleep easy!

OK, you don’t have 3M$ idle and let’s look at another example.

Emergency funds, or savings, are nicely addressed by a “4 by 5” ladder. Think 20 Five Year 5% CDs spread out over the Four Quarters across Five Years. Lets use an Emergency Fund of 100k$. That should cover most emergencies I can think of. Every quarter, you have a 5k$ CD that comes due and you roll it over. Should an emergency come that requires tapping the fund, you just break the last CD. Usually the penalty is just the interest. Some banks will even give you a loan at a very cheap rate, pledging the CD as collateral. It’s a little hard to crack into them, so you’re less likely to call an emergency that isn’t a true one. Since you’d lose money by doing anything with them, you’re motivated to figure out an alternative. But, if you need them, they are there. I like borrowing against them as opposed to cashing them.

Entry into the program is relatively simple. When starting, we bought five “First Quarter” (i.e., 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years), a Ninety Day for “Second Quarter”, a One Eighty Day for the “Third Quarter”, and a Two Seventy Day for the “Fourth Quarter”. Then, at each quarter, we “exploded” the roll over into the five “children” (i.e., 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years). Hardest part was to explain to the Bank Folks what we wanted. We had to be very focused. Exiting from the program is just stopping the roll overs.

You may need to be a little tactical in getting to the target distribution. Banks usually have “special deals” for odd terms. Recently, when we were setting up the previously described “4 by 5”, the Bank had a “sale” on some odd terms at significantly higher rates. In looking at the odd terms, it was possible to “steer” them into giving us what we wanted.

Opinion: These are essential for old retirees. But of limited usefulness for young workers, except for use as emergency funds and for the savings layer of their financial pyramid, where they serve very nicely.

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MONEY: Potentially a raid on your 401K?

Monday, October 27, 2008

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=79168

Democrats target your 401(k)

Posted: October 27, 2008 1:00 am Eastern

Roger Hedgecock is the longtime top-rated radio talk host in San Diego, Calif., on KOGO and, more recently, a nationally syndicated Saturday radio host heard already in 47 markets and on XM Satellite.

*** begin quote ***

Democrats plan to tap your private retirement plan to fund Barack Obama’s many promises to expand the power and size of the federal government.

Your pre-tax annual contribution to a 401(k) will be taxed under a plan considered by House Education and Labor Committee Chairman George Miller, D-Calif., and Rep. Jim McDermott, D-Wash., chairman of the House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Income Security and Family Support.

*** and ***

They would eliminate the annual tax deferral for 401(k) contributions, which reduces federal revenues by about $80 billion per year. Instead, they propose that the federal government pay every worker $600 per year (inflation adjusted each year) and require every worker to invest 5 percent of their after-tax pay into a new retirement account to be administered by the Social Security Administration. The money would be invested in a new class of government bond which would yield 3 percent per year, adjusted for inflation.

This plan was originally proposed by Theresa Ghilarducci, professor of economic policy analysis at the New School for Social Research in New York, and presented to Miller and McDermott last week at a House hearing.

These liberal Democrats thought the plan ingenious. They could take over the largest pool of private savings in the U.S., redirecting some $3 trillion to government spending.

*** end quote ***

This is scary stuff. Need to look for more details.

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MONEY: Might your employer be at fault for your 401k loss?

Monday, October 13, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/023453.html

October 11, 2008 Your 401k Plan – Breach of Fiduciary Duty? Posted by Karen DeCoster at October 11, 2008 06:24 AM

* begin quote *

Some friends and family have asked me to advise them on their choice of investments because they are down – an obvious point – in their 401k plans. A bit late, and there’s not much you can do anyways. But …prior to the meltdown, so few people were really willing to understand and believe that there was a financial storm in their future.

* and *

While snooping around, I immediately noticed something in this Wachovia plan that is epidemic nowadays. There is absolutely no option to invest in something that is low in risk. Typically, if you are predicting that the market will go South (as I have been for years), you’d look for a 100% US T-Bill option in your 401k, even if you only park it there in the short term. However, this person’s plan had absolutely no low-risk option whatsoever.

* end quote *

I know that everyone TRIES to keep liability at arm’s length from the business.

BUT, (there is always a big butt),

in this case, I think there may be a claim that has some merit against the employer and the fund company.

In my younger days, I would sneer at derision at “guaranteed return” offerings. I still do.

(Look at all those “safe” bond funds who have Lehman bonds in their portfolio, and tell me about safe! Money market funds as well. Icelandic banks. Inet banks. Yada, yada, yada!)

If a 401k has no “guaranteed” offering, I suspect that a claim could be made and imho would be paid off quietly.

?

Disclaimer: I’m not a lawyer, CPA, or even “thin, young, and handsome” any more. (Any More?)

Get me on the jury, present me with a good case, and I find for the “little guy” all the time.

Just my nickel’s work. (Two cents after inflation?)

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MONEY: What if all monopoly money was real?

Saturday, October 11, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/sennholz/sennholz19.html

Hyperinflation in Germany, 1914–1923 by Hans F. Sennholz

*** begin quote ***

How stupendous! Practically every economic good and service was costing trillions of marks. The American dollar was quoted at 4.2 trillion marks, the American penny at 42 billion marks. How could a European nation that prided itself on its high levels of education and scholarly knowledge suffer such a thorough destruction of its money? Who would inflict on a great nation such evil which had ominous economic, social, and political ramifications not only for Germany but for the whole world? Was it the victors of World War I who, in diabolical revenge, devastated the vanquished country through ruinous financial manipulation and plunder? Every mark was printed by Germans and issued by a central bank that was governed by Germans under a government that was purely German. It was German political parties, such as the Socialists, the Catholic Centre Party, and the Democrats, forming various coalition governments, that were solely responsible for the policies they conducted. Of course, admission of responsibility for any calamity cannot be expected from any political party.

*** end quote ***

If you ever talked to someone who lived thru that era, you could see fear on their faces. Only stuff was valuable. I remember being told by an old lady: “Each day at lunch time, I would go to Papa’s law office and take the money he collected for services and go buy something immediately. Anything. Didn’t matter what. Things had value; money did not. Papa would do the smae at night when he left the office.” I never forgot that conversation.

I had a fantasy as a child. I bet all kids do. At least kids who want more of what they can’t have. “What if all monopoly money was real?” I’m sure my Mom thought it was very funny

Then as the nerdy bookworm I was, I was on a quest to learn about money. Digesting a few good “iicky nom icks” books — can they be any more boring? — I was a diligent researcher in those days.

I read about the six characteristics of money — medium of exchange, store of value, unit of account, divisible, fungible, and measurable. Learned about how difficulty in barter lead to money. I could differentiate between Commodity, Representative, Credit, and Fiat money. I could define liquidity, velocity, demand curves, and even derivatives. But my young mind blundered on a realization.

It was all monopoly money!

Yes, dear reader, we’ve been defrauded by our own gooferment. Today’s dollar is not the dollar of our parents or grandparents. And, it won’t be the dollar of our posterity.
Fasten your seat belts. The 25% Carter inflation will seem tame after the politicians get finished screwing us.
The only funny thing is that, while every holder of a dollar today is going to be screwed, the biggest holders of dollars is the Chinese Communists. INflation is going to ravage their 5 Trillion Dollars.
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MONEY: Why not deal directly with the Treasury?

Monday, October 6, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/blog/lewrw/archives/023366.html

October 06, 2008
A Question
Posted by Charles Featherstone at October 6, 2008 01:59 PM

*** begin quote ***

Some years ago, I signed up for U.S. Treasury press releases regarding bond and note sales. I don’t remember why I did this, and generally I never bothered to read the e-mails.

*** end quote ***

Once upon a time, Treasury debt, specifically T-Bills, were only available in 10k$ denomination. Once upon a time, FDIC insurance was only available up to a very limited amount. (I remember it as 10k. But that was a long long time ago.) Obviously, there was some payoffs — legal campaign contributions or illegal graft — and “insurance” was raised to 100k.

Why do we need FDIC?

Small depositors can deal directly with the Treasury via Treasury Direct!

So, explain to me again WHY we need any FDIC insurance?

Is it a payoff to banks who make contributions? Or is there another scam going on?

Sigh!

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MONEY: “Silent” Bank Run

Thursday, October 2, 2008

http://www.charlotteobserver.com/business/story/226799.html

Wachovia faced a ‘silent’ bank run; FDIC forced sale
Fearing a loss of funding over the weekend, the FDIC forced the sale.
By Rick Rothacker and Kerry Hall
CharlotteObserver.com Business
Posted: Thursday, Oct. 02, 2008

*** begin quote ***

Starting Friday morning, Evans said, businesses and institutions with large accounts started withdrawing money to lower their balances to below the federally insured $100,000 limit. They weren’t closing accounts, he said, adding “they were very apologetic in saying they love the service they get from Wachovia and they weren’t leaving Wachovia. They were just moving their money until things settled down.”

*** end quote ***

Clearly, for us little guys, you should never have anything close to the FDIC limit.

Even with that, you can’t have all your eggs in one basket.

Paper money is just that paper money. When panics start, they develop a life of their own. Clearly, depending upon one bank is absurd. Even if FDIC comes in and saves “your bank”, I can only imagine the ‘fun’ while things, like deck chairs, get rearranged.

It would seem that us little guys need several banks or credit unions pre-set up and funded, ready to go at a moments notice.

I’d go so far as to suggest that FOUR might not be excessive. With web bill pay, printed checks, and direct deposit all energized ready to go.

Fore warned is Fore armed. “Be prepared” It ain’t just for Boy Scouts.

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MONEY: Are we going to be left with a banking oligarchy?

Monday, September 29, 2008

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080929/wachovia_citigroup.html?.v=1

Citigroup to buy Wachovia banking operations
Monday September 29, 9:24 am ET

*** begin quote ***

NEW YORK (AP) — In the latest byproduct of the widening global financial crisis, Citigroup Inc. will acquire the banking operations of Wachovia Corp. in a deal facilitated by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

*** end quote ***

Doesn’t anyone think that banks are becoming too big?

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MONEY: Buying a “falling knife”?

Sunday, September 28, 2008

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aCNnbO2lMJG4&refer=home

WaMu Failure Shakes Seattle, From Shareholder to Job Seeker

By Peter Robison and Dina Bass

*** begin quote ***

Sept. 27 (Bloomberg) — Sally Rawlings was one of the last people to buy shares in Washington Mutual Inc., showing faith that her hometown Seattle savings and loan would be able to weather its financial crisis.

*** end quote ***

I’d suggest that she not go trying to catch “falling knives”. Although it is tempting, to buy low. But it’s low for a reason! Stop losses by not starting them?

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MONEY: billions of dollars gets piled on top of the federal debt

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

http://episteme.ca/2008/09/19/im-not-an-economist-but/

I’m not an economist, but…

*** begin quote ***

I just read the info on the new US mortgage bailout.

I’m bothered.

I can’t figure out how this works. I mean, I get the idea – the federal government purchases (and later attempts to sell) “hundreds of billions of dollars” of bad paper.

But, if the paper is no good, it means there’s no resale value.

So, that hundreds of billions of dollars gets piled on top of the federal debt.

*** end quote ***

Well, I’m not an “eccky-nonny-mist” either, but … …

(1) Where does the gooferment get the authority to pick winners and losers in the marketplace?

(2) Where is the money going to come from for all this “saving”?

(3) Where is the end of the national debt raising?

(4) When did the Federal Reserve become the bankruptcy court?

Sigh!

Call me a “gold bug”, but I can’t afford any more of this type of “saving”. Not that they need my permission. They just do what they want.

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MONEY: Hope all your eggs weren’t in some big company’s stock?

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

The Mess On Wall Street: Four Trillion Dollars Down The Drain

The Mess On Wall Street: Four Trillion Dollars Down The Drain by Erick Schonfeld on September 16, 2008

*** begin quote ***

Each box in the graphic is proportional to the size of the market capitalization of the biggest financial firms then and now. As you mouse over the squares, you can see how much each value each company lost between October 9, 2007 and September 12, 2008. Here are some of the individual losses by market cap:

Citigroup: $236.7 billion to $97.8 billion.

Bank of America: $236.5 billion to $150.2 billion.

AIG: $179.8 billion to $32.3 billion

Goldman Sachs: $97.7 billion to $61.3 billion

American Express: $74.8 billion to $45 billion.

Morgan Stanley: $73.1 billion to $41.1 billion.

Fannie Mae: $64.8 billion to $700 million.

Merrill Lynch: $63.9 billion to $24.2 billion

Freddie Mac: $41.5 billion to $300 million.

Lehman Brothers: $34.4 billion to $2.5 billion.

Washington Mutual: $31.1 billion to $2.9 billion

*** end quote ***

Ouch! Never mind these companies’ “market capitalization”!! What we are seeing is the pensions and retirements of some folks going up in smoke. Never to return. Some one (all of us) is taking these losses.

Argh!

And, politician talk about the various “lipstick” issues!

Where are the two fellows now? We need smaller gooferment, now! Do they think that “tax receipts” (i.e., the money they steal from us) is going to increase to pay for all their new programs? Or that there will be any “rich” left to steal from? Unemployment insurance, Social Security Ponzi benefits, Gooferment pensions.

Watch the screwing we will all take!

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MONEY: Saving is a disaster in the Welfare / Warfare State

Saturday, September 13, 2008

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_37/
b4099087568542.htm?chan=rss_topStories_ssi_5

http://tinyurl.com/68yf3w

Fair Value September 4, 2008, 5:00PM EST
Why American Savers Have Drawn the Short Straw
There are painfully real reasons why America’s savers feel they’ve got the short end of the stick
by Roben Farzad
BW Magazine

*** begin quote ***

American savers, take a bow. This is your moment of vindication. Your hour of glory. And you earned it (in a manner of speaking).

*** and ***

Good for you! Your reward: injurious savings yields, inflationary rot, and election-season neglect, all served up with a dollop of institutional insecurity.

*** and ***

Indeed, a year ago, a six-month certificate of deposit earned, on average, 3.53%, according to Bankrate.com (RATE). Today, that’s down to 2.03%. A one-year CD that earned 3.75% at this point in 2007 was offered for as little as 1.92% in April, before inching up to its present 2.38%. It’s hardly a secret that banks are only able to pay out such pittances thanks to depositors’ knee-jerk desire for security: “Hey, I might be earning crumbs on my cash, but at least I’m not losing money.”

Sure you are. Wholesale inflation has soared 9.8% in the past 12 months, the highest clip since 1981. The more widely cited consumer price index jumped to 5.6%. In other words, while your saved buck was adding 2 cents or so on one end (and even less after taxes), three times as much was getting singed off the other end of that dollar bill. “Inflation is just deadly to savings,” says David Gitlitz, chief economist at TrendMacrolytics, an investment adviser. Gitlitz observes that, taking into account the hit from inflation, rates haven’t been this negative since the dreary 1970s. (That, in turn, gave way to an early ’80s that saw the worst inflation in U.S. history since the Civil War.) “It steals your purchasing power and sets less and less of an incentive to keep money in the bank.”

*** end quote ***

So, what are the politicians saying about this PARTICULAR pig? Oh I’m sorry, they are only chatting about who put lipstick where!

Argh!

Only Ron Paul even had a glimmer of a plan.

“Savers” are fools. They have to be “Investors”. And, you laugh at my fascination with gold coins and other forms of commodity money.

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MONEY: vote for gold

Saturday, August 9, 2008

http://www.survivalblog.com/2008/08/jims_quote_of_the_day_911.html

 

***Begin Quote***

“You have to choose [as a voter] between trusting to the natural stability of gold and the natural stability of the honesty and intelligence of the members of the Government. And, with due respect for these gentlemen, I advise you, as long as the Capitalist system lasts, to vote for gold.” – George Bernard Shaw

***End Quote***

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MONEY: Who pays insurance?

Friday, August 8, 2008

http://channel-surfing.blogspot.com/2008/08/questions-of-life-and-death.html

Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Questions of life and death
Hank Kalet
managing editor of the South Brunswick Post

*** begin quote ***

And who pays? Should the answers to these questions depend on a patient’s financial situation, as they do now? (The wealthy can by medical services not available to the poor, meaning that the same $4,000 life-extender that was out of reach for Ms. Wagner might be easily obtainable for someone else — and not necessarily Donald Trump.)

*** end quote ***

Well, at one time, insurance was not in the business of rationing health care. Thanks to the gooferment, it has been throughst into arse over hear.

Insurance was, at one time, a pooling of risks. A largee pool of people, who all had a similar risk profile, were ‘pooled’. If “an unaviodable tragedy” would strike one out of a million and the million put in a dollar ahead of time, the “winner” would get a million bucks. You know the idea. But it’s been morphed into something else.

You can insure a new car against transmission failure pretty cheaply; you can’t insure the cost of an oil change.

In gooferment-regulated health insurance, we’re insuring “oil changes” and complaining when the operator of the swimming pool tried to keep it from being drained.

Perhaps, we need to return to the old fashioned free market version of insurance. I remember my Mom sitting at the kitchen table with all her hospital and doctor bills from my apendix operation. She had her receipts attached to the bills. She filled out the form. And we sent it in registered mail. About six weeks later, she got a check back for 80% of what she put in. No reasonable and customary. No “not covered”. Just a check.

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MONEY: There’s a taxpayer loose in the world!

Thursday, July 17, 2008

http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/story?id=5394214&page=1

Sen. Levin: Shut Down Giant Swiss Bank UBS
Investigation Reveals Secrecy Tricks Allegedly Used by Swiss Bankers
By BRIAN ROSS, AVNI PATEL, and RHONDA SCHWARTZ
July 17, 2008

*** begin quote ***

Federal regulators should consider revoking the US banking license of the giant Swiss Bank UBS because of its role in helping wealthy Americans evade billions of dollars in taxes, Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) told ABC News today.

*** end quote ***

Guess the Senator doesn’t have a UBS account. His might be at Citibank, NA, New York, Succursale de Genève, or any of the hundreds of other ones.

Why is he attackign the rich for doing what any normal person would want to do — keep one’s own money. From the theiving politicians!

Here’s the list of “tricks”:

*** begin quote ***

Tax Haven Bank Secrecy Tricks
• Code Names for Clients
• Pay Phones, not Business Phones
• Foreign Area Codes
• Undeclared Accounts
• Encrypted Computers
• Transfer Companies to Cover Tracks
• Foreign Shell Companies
• Fake Charitable Trusts
• Straw Man Settlors
• Captive Trustees
• Anonymous Wire Transfers
• Disguised Business Trips
• Counter-Surveillance Training
• Foreign Credit Cards
• Hold Mail
• Shred Files

*** end quote ***

[Private note to Luddite: Watch out you have a CODE NAME!]

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MONEY: FDIC “insurance” … means what?

Monday, July 14, 2008

http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/
idUSWA000014120080714

http://tinyurl.com/5l2t7z

*** begin quote ***

“I have $360,000 in this bank, and I was misled by this bank,” said Robert Clark, a Glendale resident. “I gave the names of my mother, my sister and my brother on the account so I thought I would be insured. I don’t know what to do. I really don’t know what to do.”

*** end quote ***

Old Wall Street saying: “I’m not so concerned about the return on my money as I am about the return of my money!”

Word to the wise!

And, in my eexperience, the clerk at the bank — regardless of level or office — may know less than you. It’s your money, be sure!

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MONEY: Gooferement rip off

Monday, June 30, 2008

http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2008-06-29-Scratchoff_N.htm

Scratcher lottery tickets under fire
Updated 15h 17m ago | Comments136 | Recommend38
By Dennis Cauchon, USA TODAY

*** begin quote ***

Feeling lucky today?

Then don’t buy a $20 scratch-off ticket for the New Jersey Lottery’s “$1,000,000 Explosion” game.

Your chances of winning the $1 million top prize are Z-E-R-O.

*** end quote ***

Just in case you thought your gooferment was looking out for you?

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Money: Visited a bank; cd rates are nuts!

Friday, June 27, 2008

Term Rate
Money Market .275
3 Months .250
7 Months .275
13 Months .225
16 Months .350
2 Years .325
3 Years .425
5 Years .500

This table makes little sense to me. Money Market pays more than a 90 day CD? Seven, thirteen, and sixteen month terms? 125 basis points for a delta of three months on the 13 month CD. One hundred basis points for an extra year off the 2 year CD BUT only 75 basis points for two more years off the 3 years CD.

And, they make no effort to teach their Customers about a CD ladder and eliminating interest term sensitivity on your “mad money”. ANd minimizing interest rate risk.

(Ohh you don’t understand that concept? You should always have an emergency fund of some number of months of your run rate. Then a base of savings. Then investments. In your ‘savings tier’, how could you always be earning the Five Year CD rate? Yup, five five year CDs with different maturities. You can always get it by paying a small penalty. How do I do that? Each year on your birthday, you scrape up all your change and go get a Five Year CD. On your sixth birthday, you roll it over and add a little to it. You are an adult; aren’t you? When you get to 20k$, you move it to a different bank. FDIC insurance 100k. What do you think pension funds, insurance compnaies, and brokerages do?)

Now, we all know why I’m not running a bank! I’d try and use my ad dollars to explain how to ‘save’.

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MONEY: Saving ONE dollar is like earning TWO

Friday, March 21, 2008

http://www.thewisdomjournal.com/Blog

***Begin Quote***

Saving ONE dollar is like earning TWO because dollars saved are “after tax” dollars.

***End Quote***

Profound!

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MONEY: The lesson in Bear Sterns

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/
RTGAM.20080317.rcreditbearstearns18/BNStory/
Technology/?page=rss&id=..rcreditbearstearns18

***Begin Quote***

As a result, a firm that had survived the Depression, the Second World War and numerous stock market collapses faced the humiliation of a government-assisted takeover by rival investment bank JPMorgan Chase & Co. that will likely vaporize most of the personal wealth of the firm’s executives and cost the jobs of more than half of its 14,000 employees.

***End Quote***

I’ve seen this before when employees fall in love with their employer. They drink the Kool Aid of “failing to diversify”. My Mom fell in love with her AT&T stock. And, I have in my memory bank, many other examples of this among my friends and acquaintances. Since the read this blog, I won’t call them out but you know who you are.

Suficeth to say, I “love” no stock or bond. I ruthless observe the old Wall Street canard “No more than 5% in any one thing!”. Bank, brokerage, Tbill, … … I don’t care. If there is a way to segment your portfolio, then you should know if you have more than 5% and make a conscious decision that “it’s OK”. That may be because there is no alternative. But, it should be a “conscious decision to accept a specific risk”, as opposed to “stuff just happens”.

There is one good question that I have been asked by my Turkeys and acquaintances. (My friends and relatives never ask financial advice since they will get a long wandering diatribe on the evils of fiat currency and the benefits of gold!)

How do you mitigate the risk of jobs and pensions?

Well, both a job, pension, and any income stream of regular payments can be viewed as like a funny kind of bond.

If you have a $100k/year job, that’s like having a 2M$ bearer bond that you can’t sell. There are the unusual risks associated with it (i.e., you can lose it; it might default). That’s why the folks at Bear Sterns investing more than 5% in Bear Sterns really blew it. If one had that proverbial $100k/year job (and most jobs there paid much more), then you had in effect a $2M “bond” in your net worth. To stay under the 5% rule, you’d have to have assets in excess of $40M. Then, you could start investing in the stock.

Unfortunately, houses, pensions, and jobs when measured on the equivalent asset basis tend to throw the 5% rule out of wack. Not a lot many can do to avoid it. But that’s no excuse to not recognizing the risk and seeking to mitigate it.

So buying your employer’s stock has to be made pretty attractive to rush in and grab that particular falling knife so to speak. Sometimes it works out. Sometimes, like Enron, it don’t. Can you afford the loss?

I’m always amazed that financial industry professionals — the experts — do such a lousy job of planning their own financials. Remember 90% of Cantor Fitzgerald employees, who were killed in 91101, had no life insurance.

Always watch out for “experts” and those who give advice like one. Even me! Do your own thinking.

But remember 5%!

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MONEY: gooferment regulators and the entities they regulate — an incestuous liaison and very dangerous

Monday, February 25, 2008

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig8/whitney8.html

It’s Time to Dump the Federal Reserve
by Mike Whitney

***Begin Quote***

“Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.”
~ Aldous Huxley

The credit storm which began in July when two Bear Stearns hedge funds were forced to liquidate, has continued to intensify and roil the markets. Last week the noose tightened around auction-rate securities, a little-known part of the market that requires short-term funding to set rates for long-term municipal bonds. The $330 billion ARS market has dried up overnight pushing up rates as high as 20% on some bonds – a new benchmark for short-term debt. Auction-rate securities are now headed for extinction just like the other previously-vital parts of the structured finance paradigm. The $2 trillion market for collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), the multi-trillion-dollar mortgage-backed securities market (MBSs) and the $1.3 asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) market have all shut down, draining a small ocean of capital from the financial system and pushing many of the banks and hedge funds closer to default.

***End Quote***

This is the poster child for a disastrous gooferment program. Created in secret in 1913, it’s just flat out unconstitutional. Andrew Jackson must be saying “I told you so!”.

Constitutionally, there is nothing that permits the Congress to create a banking cartel and turn over the nation’s money to it. If it ain’t gold or silver, it ain’t money. And, no amount of “legal tender” laws can make it so. See Huxley quote above. The Dead Old White Guys made a mistake. The SHOULD have not mentioned money in the Constitution and left it to the marketplace to figure it out. But then, they thought the Tenth Amendment would cover any omissions. Silly Dead Old White Guys!

Strategically, the FED is supposed to regulate the banking industry. We’ve seen how well that works. The Germans had National Socialism; The Russians has Communism; America has Corporatism. The gooferment regulators and the entities they regulate are in an incestuous corrupt relationship. We should end this by ending regulation. The invisible hand of the marketplace is a far more honest regulator than any gooferment agency.

Tactically, the Fed has mismanaged and misregulated the whole mess. If for no other reason alone, it should be terminated with extreme prejudice.

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MONEY: There’s a tax on dollars. You do realize that. Don’t you?

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

***Begin Quote***

“Inflation has now been institutionalized at a fairly constant 5% per year. This has been determined to be the optimum level for generating the most revenue without causing public alarm. A 5% devaluation applies, not only to the money earned this year, but to all that is left over from previous years. At the end of the first year, a dollar is worth 95 cents. At the end of the second year, the 95 cents is reduced again by 5%, leaving its worth at 90 cents, and so on. By the time a person has worked 20 years, the government will have confiscated 64% of every dollar he saved over those years. By the time he has worked 45 years, the hidden tax will be 90%. The government will take virtually everything a person saves over a lifetime.”

— G. Edward Griffin

***End Quote***

And, we’re lucky if it’s ONLY 5%!

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MONEY: three ways government can get the money for a stimulus package

Saturday, February 2, 2008

http://www.townhall.com/columnists/WalterEWilliams/2008/01/30/stimulus_package_nonsense

Stimulus Package Nonsense
By Walter E. Williams
Wednesday, January 30, 2008

***Begin Quote***

There are three ways government can get the money for a stimulus package. It can tax, borrow or inflate the currency by printing money. If government taxes to hand out money, one person is stimulated at the expense of another who pays the tax, who is unstimulated and has less money to spend. If government borrows the money, it’s the same story. This time the unstimulated person is the lender who has less money to spend. If government prints money, creditors, and then everyone else, are unstimulated. As my colleague Russell Roberts said in a NPR broadcast, “It’s like taking a bucket of water from the deep end of a pool and dumping it into the shallow end. Funny thing — the water in the shallow end doesn’t get any deeper.”

***End Quote***

Good point!

And, we, of course, know who’s going to pay for it! “The Rich!”

;-)

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MONEY: Creating a ladder — continuing the conversation from where I left off

Sunday, January 27, 2008

http://tinyurl.com/3c2bup

MONEY: Creating a ladder

***Begin Quote***

You walk in on January 2nd with your 16k$ and buy A one year, two year, three year, and a four year cd for 1k$ each. You also buy a Ninety day, One Hundred Eighty day, and a Two Hundred Seventy day cd for 4k$ each.

***End Quote***

http://tinyurl.com/34fycg

MONEY: Deploying a CD ladder isn’t easy

*** begin quote ***

And, if your account goes over the FDIC insurance cap, I’ll set up the overflow with my competitor down the street.

*** end quote ***

Well, picking up from where I left off, it’s very easy to flow over the FDIC 100k limit. So one has to plan ahead to avoid this problem. For example, in the example of a five year quarterly cd ladder, one has 20 slots to fill. Assuming the 100k limit, then one is limited to 100,000/20 or 5k$. If you do a five year twelve month cd ladder, then the limit is $1,666.66. So, you’ll be using different banks to avoid that.

Now if one wants to have say 100k in retirement income, that’s 5% of 2M$.

(Before you do a Redd Fox — clutching your heart and exclaiming this is the big one — recognize that this is not much in terms of inflation and costs in retirement. Not when a ride on the NJ Turnpike is going to cost 50$! Argh!)

So, how does one develop a 2M$ ladder? And, how do you grow into your own “annuity”?

2M$ across a 20 rung (4 Quarter by 5 years) comes out very neatly to 100k$.

So you need 20 DIFFERENT FDIC banks for your CDs at full capacity. You are always taking the interest, so you never rollover the entire cd.

Since most folks I know don’t start with 2M$, how do you do this organically?

I suggest that you start with one bank and target your deposits with an eye to the magic 100k five year cd. So assume that you can “save” 5k/year, then it’ll take you 20 years to get to that 100k target. (Don’t be discouraged! Make a game of it.) Each year you buy a five year cd for your 5k, rollover interest, and as you “range in” on your goal tune your maturity to have it all come due at the same time.

Do it in your IRA and it’s tax deferred.

The more you save the faster you get there.

Seem “easy” in terms of the financial injineering!

:-)

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MONEY: the most dangerous tax

Monday, January 14, 2008

http://www.ronpaul2008.com/issues/inflation-tax

***Begin Quote***

Today, the federal government burdens us with one of the most dangerous taxes it can impose — the inflation tax. When the federal government finds that it cannot afford its out-of-control spending, and is unwilling to directly tax the public, it resorts simply to creating the money out of thin air.

***End Quote***

Here we have the ultimate tax.

A tax on money. A tax on savings. A tax on the poor. A tax on those on fixed income. An escalator that drives all costs up.

And, it creates a positive feedback loop for the cost of gooferment. The Fed inflates so the cost of what the gooferment pays goes up. The gooferment needs more money. The Fed inflates more. A positive feedback loop that any injineer will tell you will ultimately and rather quickly destroy itself. And, in the process, politicians, bureaucrats, and unions get ever increasing pay raises.

A tax on anything dollar denominated.

How silently insidious?

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MONEY: 1M$ @ 4% = 40k

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/1231/p14s01-wmgn.html?page=3

***Begin Quote***

Bengen, author of the book, “Conserving Client Portfolios During Retirement,” published last year by the Financial Planning Association Press, has studied this issue since 1993. And based on his calculations, he believes 4.5 percent of total tax-deferred assets – stocks, bonds, and the like – is the correct payout amount in the first year of payouts. In following years, that payout rate would rise in line with inflation.

***End Quote***

Folks coming to the “withdrawing” phase of retirement savings have always been advised to take 4%. So a million dollar IRA can throw off 40k per year. So, you need lots stuffed away to be comfortable.

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MONEY: Citibank limits ATM cash in city

Monday, January 7, 2008

http://www.nydailynews.com/money/2008/01/03/2008-01-03_citibank_limits_atm_cash_in_city-2.html

Citibank limits ATM cash in city
BY KERRY BURKE and LARRY McSHANE
DAILY NEWS STAFF WRITERS
Thursday, January 3rd 2008, 4:00 AM

*** begin quote ***

A jump in ATM fraud led Citibank to slash the maximum amount of cash available to customers from their accounts – a security move greeted warily Wednesday by its patrons.

The new cap on cash kicked out by the company’s ATMs began in mid-December after what Citibank called “isolated fraudulent activity” around the city.

*** end quote ***

Hmm, interesting. With the subprime mortgage mess on everyone’s mind, might an ATM be a new way that there’s a “run on the bank”?

Now we know that the Federal Reserve Bank (which is neither “federal”, a “bank”, or a “reserve” of anything but assurances) can supply all the little green pieces of paper one could ever want. (Remember I think it was Mises who said “only a government can take something valuable like paper and make it worthless by printing on it”.) That guarantee didn’t stop half of NYC’s Chinatown from lining up outside one their banks recently when a bank officer took off with some dough. After all those were just illiterate (in English?) Chinese (illegal?) immigrants who didn’t understand that things are different in the “Pepuls Paradise of the USA”. (Are they really?)

Seriously, while it may be fraud prevention, it certainly doesn’t inspire confidence when this is how you find out about it. What did they lose? How did they lose it? (Personally, some IT guy mailing a file of name, rank, serial number, ssn, card number, mothersmaidenname, and pin to a backup location is not outside the realm of possibility. Like the bloke in England did.)

>change password

So why is the cited depositor being told to change their password?

Sigh, so many question. So few answers.

Let me google my pin, and see if it’s up for sale on a pirate board somewhere!

fjohn

p.s., Luckily I have no accounts with Citibank. Unless you count that one that the nice Nigerian fellow was telling me all about.

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