Can’t say if it’s “fun”. I think imho you are playing for the bonus. You’d have to be incredibly lucky to beat the house at this game. I’m focusing on how to exploit a “positive lucky streak” and stop an “unlucky streak”. We know from probability that there can be streaks. We’re not going to hang around for a long time and get ground up by the house edge. So we need to sense the streak, exploit, and exit.
(I watched carefully the big winner at the 60$ table. He was pushing in more when he was winning and less when he lost. I should have charted his play; not mine!)
At a twenty dollar table, can you play 30$? Assume not! But if you can, that might be a way to play more after a win. So, at a twenty dollar table, I’d suggest that you want to play $40! And 5$ for the bonus. Ignore for the moment pushes.
Start with two basic stakes — one for the game and one for the bonus. Let’s say 300$. Five losing hands?
So we start by setting up five “soldiers” at 40$ each and five for the bonus (45*5=225). The last soldier is a “double” of $80 and ten for the bonus ($90). And a stack of fives ($100) for the bonus replacement’s on pushes. ($415 total) That’s the exit indicator, soldiers gone, we leave.
So here’s how it operates:
Area#1 is for the “soldiers” playing the game. Area#2 is for the bonus play stack. Area#3 is the “bank” — once money moves in there, it’s going home.
Bonus wins, restack the 20 chip bonus stack; excess to the bank.
Bonus stack depleted? A soldier is sent to reinforce. (We’re playing for the big hit.)
Game wins:
If you win, you get $38 (if.eat., 40 minus the two commission). You should add 20, going to 60. Put 18 in your kitty.
If you lose, you’re out -40.
If you win the 60, you get 57. And add 20 going to 80. From the 37, put back a 25$ soldier and the rest back in your kitty.
If you lose, you’re out -40+18=-22.
If you win the 80, you get 76. Add 20 going to 100. From the 56, put back two 25$ soldiers and the rest back in your kitty.
If you lose, you’re out -40+18+37=+15
If you win the 100, you get 95. Add 20 got to 120. From the 75, put back three 25$ soldiers and the rest back in your kitty.
If you lose, you’re out -40+18+37+56=+81
If you win the 125$, call and quit your job cause the world is going to end.
And hope you catch a streak or a big bonus.
Now that’s gambling.
Do you agree with my numerology?
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Reinke Faces Life 