http://msnbc.msn.com/id/15391426/site/newsweek
Remember Global Cooling?
Why scientists find climate change so hard to predict.
WEB EXCLUSIVE
By Jerry Adler
Updated: 5:41 p.m. ET Oct. 23, 2006
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Oct. 23, 2006 – In April, 1975, in an issue mostly taken up with stories about the collapse of the American-backed government of South Vietnam, NEWSWEEK published a small back-page article about a very different kind of disaster. Citing “ominous signs that the earth’s weather patterns have begun to change dramatically,” the magazine warned of an impending “drastic decline in food production.” Political disruptions stemming from food shortages could affect “just about every nation on earth.” Scientists urged governments to consider emergency action to head off the terrible threat of . . . well, if you had been following the climate-change debates at the time, you’d have known that the threat was: global cooling.
***End Quote***
And, you’re surprised when people don’t believe what they are told.
Weather forecasts. Economic projections. Points spreads.
How many people keep score of their predictions?
I do. I don’t make any. Any more.
The worst part of being a IT Architect is to make long term plans and be unable to change the future.
I call it the “Dephi Oracle” problem.
Yup, I see the brick wall you’re running headlong for. You, it’s still there and your speeding up. Gonna be a crash. Hay, listen up.
Klunk!
Yeah, I know if I was a better predictor, I would have been able to make you listen. Right!
What’s your prediction score?
Reinke Faces Life 