TECHNOLOGY: Microsoft and Novell in a desperate partnership to … …

Microsoft, Novell partner on historic Windows, Linux interoperability deal

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Microsoft and Novell Thursday announced a wide ranging business and technology partnership designed to make it easier for companies to run, integrate and manage Linux and Windows in their environments while steering clear of patent and intellectual property concerns.

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Sorry, but I don’t trust either corporation to do what’s best for me. Whatever that is. Let’s look at some motivations.

Microsoft is in a dying desktop monopoly position. And, there server position isn’t so hot either.

They have just shot themselves in the foot with Vista; does any one really expect consumers to buy new hardware with Vista and consign what is working to the trash heap? Or, go thru the techie high jumps trying to “upgrade”? Or, invest money for Vista and the try to make Vista run on old hardware. Don’t forget “You’re a thief” WGA! And you’ve bought into “Only One Activation”! And, those are the swords behind the matador’s cape we know about. What don’t we know?

No, I expect Microsoft’s consumer market to fragment into three distinct parts:

(1) Users got to the web to sites like Google to replace fat client desktop software. Office replaced by Writely. Project by Basecamp. MSNIM by MEEBO. Outlook by Gmail. Any desktop will do for web users. Ubuntu Linux for them. No dollars to MSFT any more ever again.

(2) Users go to Linux like Ubuntu, but don’t trust the web. SO they deploy Firefox, OpenOffice, Thunderbird, and other Linux Open Source stuff as needed. A little bumpy but no dollars to MSFT either.

(3) Users, who can afford to, may need a new platform because hardware breaks or winrot becomes so bad. For most people a bare metal restore is undoable, unthinkable, or just too much work. So they drink the Microsoft KoolAid and get Vista as part of a hardware deal. An ugly migration but it’ll work. But very few new dollars to MSFT either.

SO I expect MSFT wants to FUD Linux and mess up the works.

NOVELL is acting as if they were LINUX! They have A distribution. But they are by no means the MSFT of LINUX. I’m sure of that based on their past history of shooting themselves in the foot. (Remember at one time they OWNED the word LAN in the world’s mind! MSFT edged them out of that position.) SO they are probably looking an the “declining mountain range” (business profitability chart used in all the cartoons) and saying “help!” or worse.

SO here we have two sinking ships, one the Titanic, and one the SS Minow, trying to stay afloat making a “historic” deal. I’d call it histrionic!

And, you think this is good for the industry, or you in particular?

No, I think the partnership is to try and allow them stay afloat. To do that, they have to FUD the Lunux space, and convince the public (mostly CEOs, CIOs, CTOs, and the ultimately important CFOs) that their “Edsel” is the best.

I don’t trust ’em and I ain’t buyin’ that particular load of barbara striesand!

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