MONEY: The political counter-party risk in Social Security

Wednesday, May 8, 2013

http://www.obliviousinvestor.com/the-political-risk-of-delaying-social-security-until-70/

The Political Risk of Delaying Social Security Until 70
via Oblivious Investor by Mike on 5/6/13

*** begin quote ***

Some people argue that holding off on claiming Social Security is akin to betting that there won’t be any rule changes. I don’t think that’s true. While certain Social Security reforms would make it advantageous to claim earlier, other reforms wouldn’t change the decision at all, and others could actually make it more advantageous to delay claiming benefits.

The five potential Social Security reforms that I see suggested most often are:

Increasing or eliminating the payroll tax cap,
Increasing the payroll tax rate,
Increasing the full retirement age,
Means testing benefits in some way, and
Switching from regular CPI to chained CPI for calculating cost of living adjustments.

*** end quote ***

One would hope that once you begin to collect that “they” won’t change the rules ex post facto.

We now that they can and do (i.e., the taxability of benefits).

But the Sheeple and Clover let them get away with it.

Argh!

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MONEY: Anemic US growth

Sunday, April 28, 2013

U.S. Economy Grew at 2.5% Rate in 1st Quarter
The U.S. economy failed to gather as much steam as expected in the first quarter. Gross domestic product advanced at a 2.5% annual rate between January and March, less than the 3.2% expansion expected by economists. Still, the GDP gain was stronger than the 0.4% growth in the prior quarter.

# – # – #  

With all the “stimulus”, QE, and all the other manipulation, this is a joke!

We borrow money from China to spend on stuff we don’t need and Gooferment programs.

Absurd!

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MONEY: Tax deferred maybe a trap!

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324050304578412932073225110.html?mod=WSJ_hp_mostpop_read

*** begin quote ***

That’s the message in President Obama’s budget for fiscal 2014, which for the first time proposes to cap the amount Americans can save in these tax-sheltered investment vehicles. The White House explanation is that some people have accumulated “substantially more than is needed to fund reasonable levels of retirement saving.” So Mr. Obama proposes to “limit an individual’s total balance across tax-preferred accounts to an amount sufficient to finance an annuity of not more than $205,000 per year in retirement, or about $3 million for someone retiring in 2013.” 

*** end quote ***

Interesting. 

When the big IRA / 401k accounts are thought about logically, are they not converting “capital gains” into “ordinary income”?

Would they be better off making investments in taxable accounts?

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MONEY: Savings in bullion for education and retirement

Friday, April 5, 2013

http://www.silver-coin-investor.com/Storing-Silver-for-the-Next-Generation.html

Avoiding the Student Loan Bubble With Silver

Obviously, the growing costs associated with education — as evidenced by the trillion dollar student loan bubble with an unprecedented and growing 17% default rate — seems unsustainable to say the least.

A seemingly meager investment in silver made at today’s prices could eventually prevent your childrenfrom having to rely on student loan debt where they would end up owing a large amount of money by the time they graduate. This logic might even impress those investors who are not otherwise predisposed to understanding or otherwise caring about the white metal.

For example, making just a $30,000 investment in silver today for your children’s education will most likely grow in value many times over a holding period of 15 years. Silver’s future appreciation will very likely outpaceboth the consumer price inflation index, and will probably even exceed the higher rate of inflation in college education, which is currently running at ridiculous levels.

Furthermore, if your child ultimately decides not to go to college, or gets a scholarship to fund their studies instead, your prudent investment in silver will provide quite a nest egg to help them start out in life, buy their first home, etc.

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Interesting. I wonder if non-IRA/401k savers will use the bullion round to fund their future retirement. 

When I look at the cost of living as denominated in silver and gold, the monetary inflation is wrung out.

Perhaps, that’s what savers should be doing. 

By holding the bullion, you eliminate inflation, counterparty, “Cyprus” / custodian, Gooferment, and rate of return risk. 

Rate of return risk is an interesting concept. When using dollar denominated savings, one calculates the rate of return. But it doesn’t include the “inflation” rate. Savings today have a small nominal interest rate and an undetermined inflation rate. The Gooferment claims it is zero. It doesn’t feel that it’s zero.

So if I “save” in ounces of silver, then I know my rate of return is zero. But, the good part is that I can’t lose ground.

Money is no longer a reliable “unit of account” or “store of value”. Bullion is the “new money”.

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MONEY: Pensions in the bulls eye

Sunday, March 31, 2013

http://www.wnd.com/2013/03/poverty-hits-the-suburbs/

WND EXCLUSIVE
Poverty hits the suburbs
Disturbing stats show dangers overlooked as Wall Street bulls run wild

*** begin quote ***

He calls “the great 401k experiment of the past 30 years” a “disaster,” and says the actual average 401(k) balance for 65 year olds is closer to $25,000 than the $100,000 claimed by the retirement industry. Siedle predicts, “a catastrophic outcome for at least a significant percentage of our elderly population is inevitable.”

He is just as pessimistic about pensions, warning, “Americans today are aware that corporate pensions have been virtually eliminated and that the few remaining private, as well as the nation’s public pensions, are in jeopardy. Even if you are among the lucky few that have a pension, you cannot rest assured that it will be there for all the years you’ll need it. Whether you know it or not, someone is busy trying to figure how to screw you out of your pension.”

*** end quote ***

Obviously, the individual will have to save for themselves.

And, it’s in things that will retain value.

Not numbers on a bank statement.

Productive assets.

Bullion.

Bullets, bandaids, beans!

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MONEY: TAX ON YOUR BANK

Sunday, March 24, 2013

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/03/16/eurozone-country-surprise-were-putting-at-least-a-6-75-tax-on-your-bank-account/

BUSINESS
EUROZONE COUNTRY: SURPRISE! WE’RE PUTTING AT LEAST A 6.75% TAX ON YOUR BANK DEPOSITS
Mar. 16, 2013 10:12pm Erica Ritz

*** begin quote ***

Congratulations Cyprus savers – you were just betrayed by both your politicians, and by Europe – sorry, but you are the “creeping impairments” in the game known as European bankruptcy. And so is anywhere between 6.75% and 9.9% of your money, which you were foolish enough to keep with your banks (where at least you were compensated with a savings yield of… 0%).

More importantly, as of this morning Europe has finally grasped that there is a 6.75% to 9.9% premium to holding physical cash in your mattress rather than having it stored with your local friendly insolvent bank.

Luckily Cyrpus is so “small” what just happened there will never happen anywhere else: after all in Europe nobody has ever heard of “setting an example“. Or so the thinking among Europe’s unthinking political elite goes…

*** end quote ***

So, how do you, the average Sheeple, protect yourself?

Don’t think that this will go unnoticed around the world!

My concern is not so much a tax on “savings”; my concern is a seizure of IRA/401ks.

Figure there are only about 3k financial institutions that are “custodians”. All regulated up the wazoo by the District of Corruption. 

Every so often, “trial balloons” get floated about the Gooferment taking those in exchange for an “enhanced Social Security benefit”.

So my gold and silver bullion or nickels strategy don’t look so bad now!

Sometimes capital preservation is more important than investment gain lost!

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MONEY: 12 Cognitive Biases That Endanger Investors

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Good thing I have a team. Otherwise, I’d be sitting, guarding my “pirate’s chest” of gold coins. I don’t know what bias being a Gold Bug is, but I have it bad. The thieves in DC are robbing us poor folk blind. And, what’s worse, folks are clueless. Argh!

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12 Cognitive Biases That Endanger Investors: “

Before Todd Harrison created Minyanville, he was an options trader at Morgan Stanley, eventually becoming President of Cramer Berkowitz, where he toiled as head trader at Jim Cramer’s hedge fund.

Todd has an excellent analysis of the various biases that endanger investors.

Here is the full list:

1. Confirmation Bias
2. In-Group Bias
3. Gambler’s Fallacy
4. Post-Purchase Rationalization
5. Neglecting Probability
6. Observational Selection Bias
7. Status-Quo Bias
8. Negativity Bias
9. Bandwagon Effect
10. Projection Bias
11. The Current Moment Bias
12. Anchoring Effect

Check out his explanation and descriptions here.

 

 

Source:
12 Cognitive Biases That Endanger Investors
Todd Harrison
Minyanville January 17, 2013
http://www.minyanville.com/special-features/random-thoughts/articles/12-Cognitive-Biases-that-Endanger-Investors/1/17/2013/id/47441

(Via The Big Picture.)

 

–30–


MONEY: This economy, and lack of political fiscal discipline, is hardest on the poor

Sunday, February 24, 2013

http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2013/0222/Why-is-Wal-Mart-worried-Payroll-tax-could-cut-consumer-spending.-video?nav=87-frontpage-entryLeadStory

Why is Wal-Mart worried? Payroll tax could cut consumer spending. (+video)
Recent reports forecast lower spending for this year, anticipating that the restored payroll tax will impact consumers’ wallets, especially low-income earners. Wal-Mart is adjusting its strategy.

By Husna Haq, Correspondent / February 22, 2013

*** begin quote ***

“It’s a big deal,” says Morgan Housley, a macroeconomic analyst with Motley Fool, an online financial education website. “The biggest impact is on lower-income households since the payroll tax is regressive, only applying to the first $113,000 of income. Wealthier households don’t feel the same pinch because the tax doesn’t hit all of their income. Lower-income households also spend a larger share of their income than wealthier consumers.… Low-income families are in one of the toughest spots they’ve been in since 2009.”

*** end quote ***

Anyone believe a less that 2% cpi?

Not me!

# – # – # – # – #   

Why is Wal-Mart worried? Payroll tax could cut consumer spending. (+video)Recent reports forecast lower spending for this year, anticipating that the restored payroll tax will impact consumers’ wallets, especially low-income earners. Wal-Mart is adjusting its strategy.

By Husna Haq, Correspondent / February 22, 2013


MONEY: Default is unavoildable

Tuesday, February 19, 2013

http://lewrockwell.com/north/north1264.html

—  begin quote —

Will the federal government default? Yes. Will investors learn their lesson? Not for long. But for a time, yes.

Here is the lesson: Do not trust a politician who says America cannot, must not, and will not default.

Here is the rule: “Never believe a rumor until it is officially denied by the government.”

Obama has officially denied it.

It’s coming.

— end quote —

Regardless of how you define “default”, what the FED is doing in buying debt with more paper, is de facto default.

So what the individual to do?

Buy assets that are not dollar denominated.

Bullion coins are my favorite. Nickles too.

Diversify. Pay off debt. And “get small in your hole”. (Any vet knows what that means!)

–30–

 


MONEY: TARP was theft

Thursday, January 3, 2013

http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/12/its-not-a-tax-or-spending-problem-its-a-devolution-into-lawlessness/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+TheBigPicture+%28The+Big+Picture%29

It’s Not a Tax or Spending Problem … It’s a Devolution Into Lawlessness
By Washingtons Blog – December 26th, 2012, 1:30AM
It’s Not a “Fiscal Cliff” … It’s the Descent Into Lawlessness

*** begin quote ***

Numerous top economists say that the bank bailouts are the largest robbery and redistribution of wealth in history.

Why was this illegal? Well, the top white collar fraud expert in the country says that the Bush and Obama administrations broke the law by failing to break up insolvent banks … instead of propping them up by bailing them out.

And the Special Inspector General of the Tarp bailout program said that the Treasury Secretary lied to Congress regarding some fundamental aspects of Tarp – like pretending that the banks were healthy, when they were totally insolvent. The Secretary also falsely told Congress that the bailouts would be used to dispose of toxic assets … but then used the money for something else entirely. Making false statements to a federal official is illegal, pursuant to 18 United States Code Section 1001.

So breaking the rules to bail out the big, insolvent banks, is destroying our prosperity.

A strong rule of law is essential for a prosperous and stable economy, yet the government made it official policy not to prosecute fraud, even though criminal fraud is the main business model adopted by the giant banks.

*** end quote ***

It seems like it is time to hold the politicians and bureaucrats accountable for the lies and frauds.

My favorite is DonwsizeDC with its Read The Bills and One Subject At A Time ideas,

Of course, if no one is held accountable, then it really doesn’t matter. 

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MONEY: Save all nickels

Saturday, December 15, 2012

http://lewrockwell.com/schiff/schiff190.html

Ditching Before the Fiscal Cliff
by Peter Schiff

*** begin quote ***

Turn on the TV and this is what you’ll hear: The US budget is heading for a fiscal cliff. If a deal isn’t reaching in Congress by the end of this year, a combination of automatic tax hikes and budget cuts will sink America into economic depression. There is no escape.

*** and ***

Those buying into physical gold and silver see this inevitability and are getting prepared. We believe there is no sense playing Russian roulette with our savings. Every time Washington raises that debt ceiling or announces another stimulus, it’s like one more click of the trigger.

*** end quote ***

OK, I get it. Everyone thinks I have a tin foil hat.

Talk to anyone who lived through the German pre-WW2 hyperinflation or the Great Depression. Or even the Carter inflation of the 70′s.

I get it. Buying Gold and / or Silver bullion is way out there on the lunatic fringe.

OK, how about accumulating “poor man’s gold”. Nickels?

If you won’t ask for a roll every time you go to your bank, then just don’t spend them when you receive them in change.

I have a couple of boxes on both my nightstands. If during the day, I get nickels in change I put them in my back pocket. When I get home, they go into the box and the “junk” goes into the “recycling bag”. (I take my change often anytime I go to the bank.)

Argh!

So here’s the gist of this money rant: (1) save all nickels; (2) consider buying bullion; but (3) don’t buy what you see advertised on TV. (Someone has to pay for the ads. Guess who? U!)

See you on the other side.

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MONEY: It’s “too big to fail” is “to big to exist”?

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

http://etfdailynews.com/2012/12/04/the-coming-derivatives-panic-that-will-destroy-global-financial-markets/

The Coming Derivatives Panic That Will Destroy Global Financial Markets

December 4th, 2012

*** begin quote ***

It would have been really nice if we had not allowed these banks to get so large and if we had not allowed them to make trillions of dollars of reckless bets.  But we stood aside and let it happen.  Now these banks are so important to our economic system that their destruction would also destroy the U.S. economy.  It is kind of like when cancer becomes so advanced that killing the cancer would also kill the patient.  That is essentially the situation that we are facing with these banks.

It would be hard to overstate the recklessness of these banks.  The numbers that you are about to see are absolutely jaw-dropping.  According to the Comptroller of the Currency, four of the largest U.S. banks are walking a tightrope of risk,

*** end quote ***

The bottom line is that Big Gooferment likes Big Anything.

More contributions.

More crony faux capitalism. Get money by playing the game; NOT satisfying customers.

Simple solution. Artificially constrain the size by limiting balance sheets. Require excess to be spun back to the owners.

Ever hear of “anti-trust” or “restraint of trade”?

Not going to happen, because they are all in bed with one another.

–30–


MONEY: What have we allowed to be done?

Sunday, December 9, 2012

http://www.cmi-gold-silver.com/blog/government-money/

Book Review: What Has Government Done to Our Money?

*** begin quote ***

In the United States we currently have a stated policy by the Federal Reserve to create higher levels of inflation while artificially lowering interest rates. This is a policy devastating to savers and those attempting to live off of the proceeds of their capital. How did we arrive at the point where a government created agency can arbitrarily opt to destroy the value of people’s savings?

Murray Rothbard’s What Has Government Done to Our Money? lays out the step by step process by which the commodity based monies of the free market are slowly and deliberately usurped by governments and their central banks. The end result of this control is the ability of government to take purchasing power from the savings of its citizens through inflation.

Understanding money and its creation are essential to understanding how inflation originates. Rothbard assumes no prior knowledge of the subject and begins with first principles to derive what money is and how it is used in a free market. He then covers the manipulations used by government to wrestle control of money away from the free market. Finally he finishes with a two hundred year history of money and currencies in the Western world. It is through this history he demonstrates how government abuse has resulted in a series of breakdowns of the dollar with respect to gold that have inevitably led to our current global monetary crisis.

*** end quote ***

We have allowed the politicians and bureaucrats to inflate the paper currency and silently steal from everyone — rich and poor  alike — their wealth. For the poor, it’s the value of their labor. For the rich, it’s the value of their savings.

argh!

–30–


MONEY: Thinking about employer 401Ks and IRAs versus retirement savings

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

http://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/2012/11/26/401k-with-no-match-should-contribute/

An interesting article. My gripe with 401ks has always been the investment options and fees are “unacceptable”. Especially when you consider the real inflation rate.

I know I am a gold bug. But with the FED printing money and the subterfuge of them buying their own bonds, I think we are at risk of an even higher inflation. I remember the Cater inflation. And, I am not buying that the interest rate is zero.

I think an interesting facet is that the price of gas, which goes into every product indirectly, has actually decline in price since 1968. (Ron Paul said it best: “Three silver dimes bought a gallon of gas in the Sixties; today, those same three silver dimes equate to a gallon and half.”)

As a poor retiree, inflation is my concern. (If it evokes more sympathy, I’m also an orphan.) I realize that I probably personally have a lot to worry about. It’s really just me. But for posterity, this stinks. Hence my obsession on commodity bullion.

And, it is a way of avoiding the estate taxes.

–30–


MONEY: Why the BND is an important exemplar in the road back to liberty

Sunday, November 25, 2012

On Tuesday night’s Free Talk Live, a caller tried to make the case for the “Bank of Oregon” a la the “Bank of North Dakota”.

I thought the hosts didn’t understand the point he was making. (Yes, he made it very badly. As you would expect to a non-politician non-public speaker. Not that I’m any better. But, I think he was on to something.)

So I wrote up some stalking points and called in.

(As a long time AMPlifier and long time listener since back when the boys were in Flori-Duh fighting the good fight, I knew that they were going to be a tough “sell”. In retrospect, I should have prepped some more.)

Here are my points: 

# – # – #  

Why the Bank of North Dakota is important to secession and liberty:

(1) It’s a depository for all state tax collections and fees; The state itself and all state agencies do their banking with BND. Wrests control from politicians and their cronies on Wall Street.


(2) It plows the funds (I should have said “capital”!) back into the state in the form of infrastructure, farm, business, and student loans. Consistent with sound fiscal and banking practices.


(3) It acts as a bankers’ bank or a wholesale bank. So the BND provide services to banks, whether it’s check clearing, liquidity, or bond accounting safekeeping. It can subsitute for the Federal Reserve System. 


(4) It provides a dividend back to the state. In the case of BND that 60M$ or 50% of their annual profit. That’s profit that everywhere else goes to crony capitalism.


(5) It deprives the current Federal politicians and bureaucrats of the ability to inflate the currency. A state bank could introduce a hard currency or allow free market competition in currency. 



This could be a stepping stone to “killing” the FED. It is a way to “shrink” the problem. Replacing the FED with 50 State Banks is a good step on the road to liberty.

# – # – # 

Here’s the link to my “performance”; starts at the 1:18 mark and completes at the 1:32 mark.

https://www.freetalklive.com/content/podcast_2012_11_21

I must have done well because I got a huge chink of air time. At about the 45 mark of the second hour and held over as the first bock on the third hour.

So the hosts must have found me “interesting”.

As expected Ian, who is a raving Anarcho-Capitalist, immeidately went for the jugular, that he is against ANYTHING that the government does. (Me 2, but how does one change the status quo. It took 100 years to get into this mess; it’ll take a 100 to get out. The water erodes everything by the passage of time.) Ian, a more a pragmatic libertarian, was ore open to being convinced. Initially, the third host (Stephanie?) didn’t have anything to say; she joined in later on as she got the concept. 

I never got the feeling that they were “convinced”, but they did understand that it was not the absurd idea that came across by that prior caller. Two out of three seemed to like the conversation. So it wasn’t a bad experience. Next time I do it, I’ll be better prepared.

Any way listen to me as a “talk show caller” and give me your opinion.

# – # – # – # – #  2012-Nov-22 @ 10:43  

 


MONEY: Imagine that your car insurance was tied to your job?

Sunday, November 18, 2012

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/retirement-plan-shift-is-creating-a-generation-of-workers-unable-to-retire.html

Retirement Plan Shift Is Creating a Generation of Workers Unable to Retire
CBS MoneyWatchBy Steve Vernon | CBS MoneyWatch – Fri, Nov 9, 2012 3:55 PM EST

*** begin quote ***

We can no longer afford to ignore the long-term consequences of short-term thinking about our retirement programs.

Yahoo! Finance/Thinkstock – We can no longer afford to ignore the long-term consequences of short-term thinking about our retirement programs.

Large U.S. employers continue to eliminate traditional pension plans that pay retired workers a monthly lifetime pension in favor of defined contribution and hybrid plans that offer lump-sum payments at retirement, according to a recent survey HR consulting firm Towers Watson.

Among Fortune 1000 companies, only 11 percent still offer a traditional pension plan to newly hired salaried workers, down from 14 percent in 2011 and continuing a long slide from 90 percent in 1985. Conversely, in 1985 only 10 percent of those companies offered only a defined contribution plan to salaried workers — today that figure stands at 70 percent.

The primary reason for this trend has been financial: Employers don’t want the exposure to unfunded liabilities if capital markets perform poorly. At the same time, until recently employees generally hadn’t expressed a preference for traditional pension plans and, in fact, have largely embraced 401(k) and other defined contribution plans.

But this trend has its consequences in the workplace, as large numbers of baby boomers have 401(k) balances that are inadequate to fund a traditional retirement. To make matters worse, most retiring workers don’t know how to turn their nest eggs into reliable retirement income. Employers also haven’t provided much help by offering retirement income options in their defined contribution plans.

*** end quote ***

Well, the Gooferment has been messing up the economy and distorting the employer – employee relationship since it first ERISA rule attempted to prevent Lockheed from stealing pension benefits from older aerospace engineers. 

They only made the problem worse.

Suppose that they stopped giving their corporate cronies tax breaks that weren’t available to individuals and let individuals fend for themselves for “benefits”, no problem.

Imagine that your car insurance was tied to your job?

It’s just dumb!

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MONEY: Sometimes it’s smart to take the offer?

Saturday, November 10, 2012

http://www.doughroller.net/insurance/dont-make-these-mistakes-when-buying-life-insurance/

Don’t Make These Mistakes When Buying Life Insurance
by ROB BERGER
in INSURANCE

*** begin quote *** 

3. Holding Out for A Better Offer

The most recent and biggest screw up we saw had to do with a 30 year old female applying for a $1 million term policy. After asking all the basic medical conditions, she gave us the impression that she would get approved at a Preferred rate. With her age and the amount she needed, we anticipated her rate to be about $70 per month.

After the initial paramedical exam, they found that her cholesterol was a little on the high side; and not just a little on the high side, high enough where instead of being Preferred she was rated a Standard Table B (essentially that means she was knocked down four table classes). That means her rate went from $70 a month to $162 a month. The insurance company made this offer without requesting her APS, otherwise known at the Attending Physician Statement. Your APS contains your entire medical background. If you have any medical history, then there is a pretty good chance that the life insurance company will request your APS.

*** end quote ***

I’ve been always been a firm adherent to the “take the deal”. Have to bird in the hand; rather than two in that bush over there.

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MONEY: Stay at home spouse should think outside the box

Monday, November 5, 2012

http://blogs.smartmoney.com/advice/2012/10/22/should-stay-at-home-spouses-get-their-own-credit-cards/?cid=djem_sm_dailyviews_t

OCT 22, 2012, 2:03 PM

Should Stay-at-Home Spouses Get Their Own Credit Cards?

By AnnaMaria Andriotis

*** begin quote ***

An effort to loosen credit-card standards for stay-at-home spouses would seem to benefit millions of consumers, but critics say the change could actually push some families deeper into debt and derail their finances.

Last week, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau proposed loosening regulations to make it easier for the nation’s more than 16 million stay-at-home spouses to qualify for credit cards, largely undoing more stringent requirements put into place in October 2011. Prior to then, consumers could sign up for a credit card by stating their household income, even if all of that income came from their spouse. But the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act required the Federal Reserve to amend several lending provisions for credit card issuers, including a new rule that issuers had to ask for individual income on a credit card application, and could no longer rely on household income.

If enacted, the CFPB’s proposal would allow credit card issuers to ask card applicants 21 and over for income to which they have a “reasonable expectation of access,” which could include a spouse’s salary. The bureau says it’s aware of several issuers that have denied card applications from otherwise creditworthy individuals based on the applicant’s stated income.

***

Not everyone agrees that this problem would outweigh the benefits. Some say the old rules were more fair for consumers. “Stay-at-home parents shouldn’t be penalized because they don’t personally bring in income,” says Scott Bilker, founder of DebtSmart.com.

*** end quote ***

Having had a spouse pass, maybe I am a little sensitive to this issue.

I see this area fraught with issues over and above the very real and present danger that the couple may get into credit card debt.

The value of a two income family is that, if properly diversified by company (i.e., both spouses don’t work for the same big company) as well as by locale (i.e., dad works on Wall Street and mom works on Broad Street in a different sector), then that provides a lot of safety. As long as they “live” on one income, then they are relatively insulated when one of them loses their employment. (Notice I said “when”; not “if”!)

There is a HUGE danger when the two checks are not “independent”. Or, if they need both to “live”.

(Either of those cases are a much bigger problem than the risk being explored here!)

The stay at home spouse, for whatever reason, was deemed the “lesser of two evils”. Maybe, most likely, they earned less and the loss of income is substantively made up for by the lack of day care costs. Net of taxes, commuting, lunches, and “wear ‘n’ tear”, the couple decides to forgo some income, which when net of costs is considered, isn’t so bad.

From my pov, this has several risks to this approach.

Number One is that the stay at home spouse’s skills will “age” badly. For all intents and purposes, I’d guesstimate the spouse’s renetry rate at just the minimum burger flipper wage. “Everyone” can go to MickeyD’s?

Life insurance is a hidden expense in this equation. Having had a dependent spouse, much of my fiscal planning was around if I got hit with the proverbial Mack Truck, what does she do?

One, that I’ve seen but not experienced, is what happens if the stay at home spouse — male or female — gets divorced. The TV prototypical example is Doc X who gets married in med school; typically to a nurse. Becomes a big doc and has an affair with the sexy secretary. Stay at home spouse is <crude vernacular for the act of procreation>. The stay at home spouse is muchly at the mercy of the working spouse.

I’m not sure how you handle these things.

I’m sure the working spouse would be insulted at any suggestion that the stay at how spouse would be eft high and dry.

BUT!

Sorry, but it has to be considered.

Stay at home spouse BEFORE they agree to become the “wife” (boy or girl):

(1) Need life insurance that names them as the beneficiary and lock it in stone;

(2) Need a legal document that outline any promises or expectations (written by a pre-divorce lawyer); and

(3) Funds on deposit in the “stay at home” person’s name that can’t be touched. (Think Titanic’s lifeboat).

Too many people — gay or straight — married or living together — traditional or non-traditional — don’t think outside the box.

I write this not for the adults, but for the children who always seem to get the short end of the straw.

—30—


MONEY: Walmart and AmExp announce “BlueBird”

Monday, October 29, 2012

https://bluebird.com/?povid=cat1099170-env474392-module474393-lLink6

Why Bluebird?
Bluebird is brought to you by American Express and Walmart, giving you:

The features you want
You can make direct deposits, pay bills online, deposit checks with your iPhone® or AndroidTM device, and set up Sub-Accounts — a great new way to manage family spending.

The value you expect
We believe your money belongs with you. That’s why there are no annual, monthly, overdraft, or minimum balance fees.

The service you deserve
Our award-winning American Express Customer Service is there for you 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. And it’s super easy to open a Bluebird Account since there are no credit reviews.

It feels good to Bluebird.

# – # – #  

Interesting. Is this the long awaited foray into the “banking business”?

Seems beneficial to sign up for it to get “grandfathered in”, when stuff changes.

Could be a great deal. Especially for us “non-rich”.

# – # – # – # – #   


MONEY: Financial planning with old memes

Sunday, October 21, 2012

http://www.businessinsider.com/the-coming-retiree-crisis-2012-10

Take Action Now To Prepare For The Great Retiree Crisis

Jeff Voudrie, See It Market | Oct. 10, 2012, 8:30 AM

***** begin quote *****

The financial planning community has largely relied on assumptions regarding equity, debt and inflation percentages that have been experienced over the last 30 years.

There are 3 problems with these assumptions:

Equity returns the last 30 years have been extraordinarily high as a result of the longest and greatest Bull market in the history of U.S. stock markets. Accordingly, many financial plans used projections that assumed equity returns of 8-10% a year.

Debt returns over the same period are equally skewed. Remember the double-digit interest rates of the 1980’s? In 1989, as a young broker, I was selling 30-year TVA bonds yielding 10%! Financial plans the last 5-10 years have used interest rate assumptions around 5-6% a year.

The scenarios that led to the historic markets the last 30 years are very unlikely to EVER be repeated in today’s retiree’s lifetime. And those who are taking distributions based on these outdated assumptions may soon run out of money.

For instance, let’s assume that someone retired 5 years ago at age 60 with a $500,000 investment portfolio. Based on financial plans popular at that time, the retiree is taking $2500 a month in distributions—money they need to maintain their current standard of living. Since the plan anticipated the ability to average a 7% return on a portfolio with close to 50% in equities, the retiree expects to be able to take those distributions and never run out of money.

Adjusting those assumptions based on what many believe resembles more reasonable assumptions going forward requires decreasing the rate of return assumption for a similar-risk portfolio to around 4% and increasing the inflation assumption from 1-2% a year to 3-4% a year (which may still be too conservative). Suddenly, the portfolio that should last forever is now projected to be exhausted in only 16.8 years! That means that the entire nest egg and what it earns cannot sustain the current withdrawal rate. Since the retiree started the withdrawals five years ago, now they are down to 11.8 years—running out of money around age 76!

***** end quote *****

Clearly, the political class has screwed up the American economy.

Pity the poor, the elderly, the middle class, those on fixed income.

Inflation is grossly understated by the “official” stats.

Are we headed to be like Europe or pre-WW2 Germany?

Clearly, everyone needs to update their financial plans.

I’ve recommended to my turkeys that they adjust their “money reserve requirements”.

Everyone better plan to work for a longer time.

— 30 —


MONEY: Tax hikes coming!

Saturday, October 20, 2012

http://www.financial-planning.com/news/How-Advisors-Can-Use-2012-Tax-Breaks-Before-They-Disappear-2681313-1.html?ET=financialplanning:e11881:34803a:&st=email

Dear Team:

I don’t see much news I can use?

  • Possibly pre-pay medical premiums (e.g., Maybe 7200$ x and y premiums; see if I can prepay z premiums?).
  • ROTH conversion rarely makes any sense (i.e., pay taxes now to maybe save them later)?
  • Take cap gains in taxable accounts (i.e., doesn’t fit with the Edelman style of investing).

Did I miss anything?

fjohn

*****

This is a recent email sent out. Recognize that if the Congress critters do nothing, which is their MO, we get slammed with a gigantic tax hikes in 1/1/13.

Don’t think there is much to do, but revolt.

–30–

f

 


MONEY: The falling dollar hurts real people; an ebb tide lowers all boats

Friday, October 19, 2012

http://www.mybudget360.com/us-standard-of-living-falling-us-dollar-impact-us-dollar-benefits/

Standard of living, meet falling US dollar – how a falling US dollar benefits banks at the expense of working Americans.

*** begin quote ***

There is certainly a cost to a falling US dollar. Many Americans are living the consequences of this multi-decade long trend. The Federal Reserve has only added fuel to this trend but many families are now realizing that there does come a cost to unrelenting debt based solutions to fiscal problems. Shopping at the local grocery store I’ve noticed that some items have doubled in the last few years. Fueling up is also more expensive. The issue with living on a low dollar policy is that eventually, you end up in a low wage capitalist system. The easy money slowly inflates away especially on global items. We are seeing this in the US in various arenas especially with higher education. The end result is that the standard of living for the vast majority of Americans has fallen dramatically in the last few decades.

*** end quote ***

The seems to be a basic stupidity in human beings as to the devastating impacts of “inflation” (i.e., counterfeiting by a central bank).

As an injineer, we can’t have a “standard” that varies. 

As a football fan, imagine if a yard was redefined each football season as 2% less. 35.28 inches. Easier to make a first down. Records would be meaningless. And, eventually, in 30 years, they’d play on a one inch field.

Absurd.

So why is it different for money?

In my lifetime, the “dollar”, whatever that is, has lost 99% of it’s value. Gasoline that was 30¢ per gallon was $3.75 last night. Has gasoline become more expensive? Those evil oil companies. No!!! Based on the price of silver, gas is actually ~30% cheaper. 

<<Those three silver dimes in 1960 bought a gallon of gas. Today those three dimes are worth about $6 (conservatively) to $10.50 (speculation). So either 28% cheaper or 65% depending upon your value of those dimes.>>

Why can’t ”We, The Sheeple” see it?

And, in the general inflation (i.e., loss of value of the money), wages don’t go up. Those on fixed income are so screwed. And, the poor get poorer. Savings are a joke.

Also even the stock market gets “hurt”. Sure the stock prices go up, but never as much as the inflation rate. We’ve seen this in the Carter disaster. Then, stocks went up in the single digit %s, but the inflation was 25 or 30%. Hence the real value went down.

How does a tin foil hat view the world? Always price things in silver or gold. Makes it obvious.

A new men’s outfit in Rome was two ounces of gold. Today, you can buy a nice outfit for 3500$! Clothing has gotten “cheaper”.

A new car in the 60′s was 6 ounces of gold. (I know a bought a Chevy Nova brand new for 1200$). Today, 10,500$ won’t get you a new car. Cars have become more “expensive”. Gas we’ve already said has gotten “cheaper”.

What do you buy that’s changed?

Gooferment!!!

# – # – # – # – #   


MONEY: PT is less than AU?

Thursday, October 18, 2012

KITCO Metals quotes

 

 

Take a look at the price of platinum versus gold.

What does this signal?

Price manipulation in the commodities markets in advance of the election?

Wonder when we’ll hear about the derivative contracts that are used to move the market.

Argh!

—30—


MONEY: Commodities tell us that the politicians are lying. (What’s news there?)

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

http://www4.thedailybell.com/28133/Peter-Schiff-Riding-Into-the-Sunset-or-a-Brick-Wall

Riding Into the Sunset or a Brick Wall?
Tuesday, October 09, 2012 – by Peter Schiff

*** begin quote ***

If everyone starts to carry rolls of cash everywhere, it’s not a big leap to carry coins. A silver coin the size of a dime is currently worth about $3.50. Two could buy you lunch.

*** end quote ***

As someone, who remembers 29 cent per gallon gas — with a glass, trading stamps, and a guy to wipe the window, it’s not a far stretch to imagine a country using gold and silver coins as money.

Paper should be bank warehouse receipts. No fractional reserve banking should be permitted.

We shouldn’t let the elite effete political class define money. Money should be a weight of something. The free market will assign it a value.

In the debate Ron Paul gave a classic line about “in the Sixties, three silver dimes would buy a gallon of gas and those same three silver dimes would buy more gas now”. Still true. Even in California.

Now if you are reading this, just ask yourself: “What’s changed?”

Three silver dimes = gallon of gas in 1960′s = more than a gallon of gas in 2012.

Yet, gas is now over $3 per gallon. 5 in California.

What’s changed?

Could it be that the value of the dollar has changed? Not the value of silver or gasoline?

What’s the yardstick?

This makes the case that gasoline is actually CHEAPER now.

Argh!

And, the politicians tell us there is no inflation!

No wonder the oil sheiks are screaming like stuck pigs. They are getting robbed like the rest of us.

# – # – # – # – #


MONEY: Governments have always robbed their subjects by debasing the currency

Thursday, October 11, 2012

http://dailyreckoning.com/paper-money-despotism

Paper Money = Despotism
By Wendy McElroy | 10/08/12

*** begin quote ***

In his invaluable book What Has Government Done to Our Money? the Austrian economist Murray Rothbard addresses the strange reluctance to consider private currencies, “Many people, many economists, usually devoted to the free market, stop short at money. Money, they insist, is different; it must be supplied by government and regulated by government.” (Note: Technically, the currency is generated through a banking cartel with government support.)

History frowns upon that theory. Before the United States Mint issued its first coin in 1793, the 13 colonies were awash with an assortment of currencies that included both private and government-issued ones. Current fiscal reality also frowns on this. Privatizing zealot Martin Durkin calls the idea of government guaranteeing the quality of money “the sickest joke in economic history. Governments have always robbed their subjects by debasing the currency, but this abuse, in recent years, has burst all bounds of decency and sanity.”

*** end quote ***

Had a similar conversation this weekend with Luddite.

We were talking about “secession”.

Among the challenges that came up was “money”.

A State, that secedes, would want to abandon the “Federal Reserve Note”. If it was smart, it would use what ever the free market dictated and allow it all to float. 

Second best would be to demand gold and silver in what it collects and what it pays.

Luddite was stunned that folks might have to change money.

LOL!

Guess he’s never traveled internationally that much.

If the seceding State used gold or silver, I’d want some of that. Rather than the trash we have now.

# – # – # – # – #   

 

 


MONEY: CD rates are the answer to the wrong question

Thursday, October 4, 2012

BANKING
Is It Stupid to Save? 5 Alternatives
With low interest rates here to stay, we look at options that can beat putting money in the bank.

http://www.smartmoney.com/plan/banking/is-it-stupid-to-save-5-alternatives-1348525179055/?cid=djem_sm_WeekontheStreet_t

#####

I find it amusing when articles give financial advice without any context. No that I’m a financial guru. But at least I’d stratified my advice into some tiers:

dirt poor — you should be focusing on burn rate and “months of cushion”

poor — you should be focused on pyramid and how you establish a basis going forward

young family man — should be thinking insurance and home ownership

youngsters — save your nickels and develop 10 part time jobs

… … before you start worrying about savings rates!!!

#####


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